{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7eef7d0-3e3a-49a6-ac69-97953dc5215e", "symbol": "ICK", "name": "Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.65, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.579, "architecture_energy": 85.2, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.811, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.41, "rotation_up": 64.38, "upward_expansion": 94.42, "deceleration": 45.14, "rotation_down": 21.24, "downward_expansion": 21.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.8006, 0.780336, 0.748983, 0.702943 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.7885, "trend_reference": 0.642562, "distance_from_trend": 0.227119, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.286913, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.748216, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.727607, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.509308, "excess_performance": 0.335061, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.227119, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187295, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.748216, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.575392, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.207276, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275459, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.509308, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041071, "annualized_volatility": 0.431131, "from_high_reference": -0.071807, "from_low_reference": 1.225873 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.642562, "fair_value_reference": 0.286913, "structural_low": 0.507872, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 54, "median_return": 0.016567, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": 0.002788, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.651709, "worst_return": -0.085457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.093867, "positive_rate": 0.722222, "directional_follow_through": 0.722222, "median_excess_return": 0.072016, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 1.920627, "worst_return": -0.073374, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.48273, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.27755, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.852842, "worst_return": -0.022505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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0.645754 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.7485, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.15, "trend": 0.602979, "fair_value": 0.26774, "relative_strength": 21.32771, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.160327, "energy": 54.447812, "activity_lines": [ 0.7426, 0.747182, 0.699072, 0.655681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.767, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.15, "trend": 0.611948, "fair_value": 0.272322, "relative_strength": 25.802551, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.07687, "energy": 54.227484, "activity_lines": [ 0.7477, 0.750409, 0.710282, 0.666263 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.804, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.15, "trend": 0.622051, "fair_value": 0.277128, "relative_strength": 28.924645, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.821873, "energy": 64.966963, "activity_lines": [ 0.766933, 0.760082, 0.723837, 0.678653 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.843, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.15, "trend": 0.63296, "fair_value": 0.282191, "relative_strength": 33.926737, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.747423, "energy": 71.995086, "activity_lines": [ 0.7963, 0.775982, 0.739766, 0.692908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7885, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.15, "trend": 0.642562, "fair_value": 0.286913, "relative_strength": 20.727607, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.578676, "energy": 85.199934, "activity_lines": [ 0.8006, 0.780336, 0.748983, 0.702943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }