{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7fb8650-001e-406d-bff0-ffe14fd3fca9", "symbol": "COL", "name": "Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.859, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.157, "architecture_energy": 58.64, "architecture_maturity": 6.691, "architecture_confidence": 69.776, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.24, "rotation_up": 64.69, "upward_expansion": 86.02, "deceleration": 45.52, "rotation_down": 11.44, "downward_expansion": 12.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.568667, 5.502293, 5.471554, 5.427722 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.555, "trend_reference": 5.374231, "distance_from_trend": 0.033636, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.334455, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.622913, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.038318, "excess_performance": -0.135929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033636, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010409, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.041343, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008629, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.166229, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001181, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.038318, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.0, "dry_up": 5.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033685, "annualized_volatility": 0.266272, "from_high_reference": -0.064815, "from_low_reference": 0.146306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.374231, "fair_value_reference": 5.334455, "structural_low": 4.846, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.04924, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.057485, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.094293, "worst_return": -0.1508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.17287, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.164641, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.026907, "worst_return": -0.189548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.121129, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.157458, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.025641, "worst_return": -0.207737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.177243, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.195391, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.076129, "worst_return": -0.289926, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.047663, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.033497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039356, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.026017, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073826, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.003673, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.01711, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.07362, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045437, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036786, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028623, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050003, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039984, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006261, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.881326, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.155514, "fair_value": 6.07213, "relative_strength": -2.896097, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.725578, "energy": 24.071442, "activity_lines": [ 5.090093, 5.044008, 4.980135, 5.013578 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 4.858601, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.121729, "fair_value": 6.064324, "relative_strength": -2.559076, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.242548, "energy": 15.896413, "activity_lines": [ 5.009495, 5.019483, 4.971102, 4.994422 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 5.126756, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.092833, "fair_value": 6.060973, "relative_strength": 0.682112, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.050496, "energy": 10.8854, "activity_lines": [ 5.024039, 5.045175, 4.987825, 4.994746 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 5.085851, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.064743, "fair_value": 6.057906, "relative_strength": 0.84885, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.906784, "energy": 13.255004, "activity_lines": [ 5.031008, 5.057176, 5.000668, 4.994296 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 5.026766, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.037142, "fair_value": 6.052403, "relative_strength": -1.398364, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.286178, "energy": 5.914614, "activity_lines": [ 5.030402, 5.053871, 5.007143, 4.991846 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 5.054036, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.010017, "fair_value": 6.049784, "relative_strength": -0.113791, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.740186, "energy": 11.55739, "activity_lines": [ 5.049794, 5.05197, 5.016045, 4.992936 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 4.858601, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.98202, "fair_value": 6.043177, "relative_strength": -4.178614, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.686085, "energy": 8.490323, "activity_lines": [ 4.992527, 5.014371, 5.005704, 4.983167 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 4.731341, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.957448, "fair_value": 6.035884, "relative_strength": -5.228467, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.080675, "energy": 26.632551, "activity_lines": [ 4.89284, 4.955203, 4.983254, 4.966994 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 4.904051, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.949917, "fair_value": 6.032955, "relative_strength": -2.657888, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.586677, "energy": 26.069153, "activity_lines": [ 4.877084, 4.936279, 4.977353, 4.963549 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 4.694981, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.941638, "fair_value": 6.028529, "relative_strength": -3.372143, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.396673, "energy": 45.413572, "activity_lines": [ 4.803758, 4.885954, 4.950818, 4.947102 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 4.590446, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.933346, "fair_value": 6.026247, "relative_strength": -5.033841, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.751569, "energy": 72.711774, "activity_lines": [ 4.717706, 4.825629, 4.914973, 4.924444 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 4.894961, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.933035, "fair_value": 6.023547, "relative_strength": -4.029844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.958552, "energy": 50.050064, "activity_lines": [ 4.764065, 4.82596, 4.910368, 4.921968 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 5.004041, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.928837, "fair_value": 6.013364, "relative_strength": -2.373072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.784319, "energy": 24.250575, "activity_lines": [ 4.84436, 4.845462, 4.916361, 4.926549 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 5.28583, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.940687, "fair_value": 6.004598, "relative_strength": 0.832434, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.94326, "energy": 19.723133, "activity_lines": [ 5.000405, 4.91843, 4.948137, 4.949581 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 5.335825, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.952178, "fair_value": 5.99636, "relative_strength": 2.3797, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.616919, "energy": 50.017576, "activity_lines": [ 5.147662, 4.996851, 4.982528, 4.975073 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 5.4949, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 4.971286, "fair_value": 5.987839, "relative_strength": 3.397372, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.827568, "energy": 79.246397, "activity_lines": [ 5.305222, 5.098577, 5.029666, 5.010088 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 5.73124, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.000298, "fair_value": 5.982135, "relative_strength": 7.568586, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.461491, "energy": 91.180356, "activity_lines": [ 5.481265, 5.235257, 5.09717, 5.059117 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 6.02212, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.042622, "fair_value": 5.979261, "relative_strength": 11.316614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.298984, "energy": 96.837147, "activity_lines": [ 5.698516, 5.408958, 5.188632, 5.125041 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 5.963035, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.082977, "fair_value": 5.975304, "relative_strength": 8.914723, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.604124, "energy": 93.344264, "activity_lines": [ 5.8282, 5.548449, 5.270637, 5.184422 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 6.01303, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.122394, "fair_value": 5.971928, "relative_strength": 8.864236, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.841365, "energy": 92.222825, "activity_lines": [ 5.929402, 5.677774, 5.354092, 5.244426 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 5.808505, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.147327, "fair_value": 5.967997, "relative_strength": 5.281507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.238469, "energy": 87.751428, "activity_lines": [ 5.917282, 5.745949, 5.414151, 5.288691 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 5.48581, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.165553, "fair_value": 5.960981, "relative_strength": 0.518612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.838577, "energy": 61.810189, "activity_lines": [ 5.77669, 5.733306, 5.439062, 5.310529 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 5.190386, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.17914, "fair_value": 5.953296, "relative_strength": -3.169499, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.574963, "energy": 28.331636, "activity_lines": [ 5.553985, 5.656206, 5.43285, 5.312131 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 5.190386, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.190992, "fair_value": 5.945298, "relative_strength": -6.015652, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.447756, "energy": 30.432506, "activity_lines": [ 5.38673, 5.575719, 5.426336, 5.312856 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 4.931321, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.194325, "fair_value": 5.934962, "relative_strength": -9.954032, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.389172, "energy": 42.680131, "activity_lines": [ 5.184629, 5.449864, 5.394651, 5.296103 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 4.785881, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.185689, "fair_value": 5.924996, "relative_strength": -10.158765, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.05812, "energy": 55.341799, "activity_lines": [ 5.006162, 5.30492, 5.349569, 5.269752 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 4.667711, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.176448, "fair_value": 5.91456, "relative_strength": -13.285489, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.491722, "energy": 81.178553, "activity_lines": [ 4.85648, 5.151381, 5.294509, 5.236334 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 4.694981, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.159025, "fair_value": 5.902709, "relative_strength": -11.881624, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.054967, "energy": 79.552953, "activity_lines": [ 4.770428, 5.022138, 5.242956, 5.205272 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 4.544996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.134937, "fair_value": 5.88862, "relative_strength": -14.26139, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.424895, "energy": 81.454628, "activity_lines": [ 4.667408, 4.889755, 5.177292, 5.165657 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 4.613171, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.115696, "fair_value": 5.875463, "relative_strength": -12.737236, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.955318, "energy": 79.85615, "activity_lines": [ 4.630139, 4.795549, 5.11983, 5.131995 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 4.658621, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.108273, "fair_value": 5.862754, "relative_strength": -12.396755, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.090428, "energy": 85.436685, "activity_lines": [ 4.62923, 4.73506, 5.067086, 5.102506 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 4.817696, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.106909, "fair_value": 5.85096, "relative_strength": -11.435329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.562124, "energy": 64.508146, "activity_lines": [ 4.68983, 4.7244, 5.029168, 5.083759 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 4.949501, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.101001, "fair_value": 5.839699, "relative_strength": -9.828327, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.150798, "energy": 45.834511, "activity_lines": [ 4.784366, 4.749852, 5.004171, 5.073604 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 4.776791, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.090699, "fair_value": 5.827669, "relative_strength": -13.517547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.09833, "energy": 36.087042, "activity_lines": [ 4.804364, 4.748281, 4.962984, 5.052687 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 4.990406, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.089487, "fair_value": 5.817112, "relative_strength": -9.157866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.341326, "energy": 32.187656, "activity_lines": [ 4.880114, 4.79307, 4.944566, 5.046216 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 4.844966, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.082518, "fair_value": 5.804998, "relative_strength": -11.200386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.31292, "energy": 29.660486, "activity_lines": [ 4.882235, 4.810341, 4.913942, 5.030441 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 4.999496, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.087214, "fair_value": 5.793197, "relative_strength": -8.519797, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.291101, "energy": 24.554624, "activity_lines": [ 4.923443, 4.854634, 4.901129, 5.025085 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 5.104031, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.099637, "fair_value": 5.779904, "relative_strength": -7.591487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.219438, "energy": 19.123915, "activity_lines": [ 4.987376, 4.911901, 4.901757, 5.02617 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 5.281285, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.112212, "fair_value": 5.767148, "relative_strength": -6.747963, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.116346, "energy": 33.150732, "activity_lines": [ 5.100092, 4.993959, 4.923638, 5.037889 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 5.358551, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.134331, "fair_value": 5.756398, "relative_strength": -6.909784, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.863933, "energy": 61.586682, "activity_lines": [ 5.20493, 5.076678, 4.956124, 5.053782 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 5.508535, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.164934, "fair_value": 5.743978, "relative_strength": -4.136548, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.9562, "energy": 77.268557, "activity_lines": [ 5.335219, 5.173115, 5.00601, 5.077924 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 5.635795, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.189628, "fair_value": 5.732114, "relative_strength": -0.34558, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.49276, "energy": 82.431409, "activity_lines": [ 5.463691, 5.277236, 5.069445, 5.108302 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 5.81305, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.216595, "fair_value": 5.720109, "relative_strength": 3.638462, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.170149, "energy": 87.213267, "activity_lines": [ 5.608828, 5.398712, 5.149048, 5.148523 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 5.635795, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.228261, "fair_value": 5.709834, "relative_strength": 3.953115, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.091312, "energy": 77.868557, "activity_lines": [ 5.647612, 5.472258, 5.208804, 5.175568 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 5.74727, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.241975, "fair_value": 5.700533, "relative_strength": 4.276291, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.95882, "energy": 77.828647, "activity_lines": [ 5.69992, 5.550454, 5.277055, 5.209052 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 5.19538, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.231991, "fair_value": 5.68806, "relative_strength": -6.094101, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.189053, "energy": 42.412445, "activity_lines": [ 5.542351, 5.514545, 5.28886, 5.206046 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 5.376172, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.220156, "fair_value": 5.675261, "relative_strength": -5.303353, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.882721, "energy": 24.495249, "activity_lines": [ 5.465922, 5.505137, 5.315934, 5.215348 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 5.295291, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.195928, "fair_value": 5.662824, "relative_strength": -6.474954, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.589922, "energy": 26.133736, "activity_lines": [ 5.379841, 5.474174, 5.33193, 5.220196 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 5.043134, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.165265, "fair_value": 5.646929, "relative_strength": -9.90303, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.029026, "energy": 25.330063, "activity_lines": [ 5.244225, 5.393887, 5.321054, 5.210338 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 4.952738, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.129922, "fair_value": 5.630401, "relative_strength": -11.209082, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.367977, "energy": 31.140029, "activity_lines": [ 5.117988, 5.301495, 5.299196, 5.196627 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 5.13353, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.107423, "fair_value": 5.612922, "relative_strength": -3.962841, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.088792, "energy": 29.953458, "activity_lines": [ 5.104984, 5.249352, 5.292939, 5.196859 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 5.138288, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.095839, "fair_value": 5.595287, "relative_strength": -4.551611, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.569842, "energy": 23.074035, "activity_lines": [ 5.097689, 5.204892, 5.284874, 5.198851 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 5.157319, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.094736, "fair_value": 5.579028, "relative_strength": -5.762914, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.399646, "energy": 18.320932, "activity_lines": [ 5.112596, 5.172938, 5.277095, 5.202817 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 5.27626, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.097599, "fair_value": 5.563586, "relative_strength": -5.052696, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.151206, "energy": 12.393838, "activity_lines": [ 5.176349, 5.174533, 5.279654, 5.214528 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 5.39996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.11322, "fair_value": 5.551206, "relative_strength": -3.668261, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.618938, "energy": 21.018598, "activity_lines": [ 5.265794, 5.205155, 5.291615, 5.234036 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 5.804362, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.147169, "fair_value": 5.543528, "relative_strength": 7.838058, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.984569, "energy": 44.590692, "activity_lines": [ 5.460224, 5.315619, 5.340141, 5.278625 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 6.099338, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.19489, "fair_value": 5.535925, "relative_strength": 12.482569, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.428435, "energy": 82.867247, "activity_lines": [ 5.708257, 5.468643, 5.412191, 5.340056 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 6.127884, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.242654, "fair_value": 5.528639, "relative_strength": 12.475872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.175759, "energy": 90.603515, "activity_lines": [ 5.901736, 5.613709, 5.481722, 5.400249 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 6.018457, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.291769, "fair_value": 5.521612, "relative_strength": 9.324877, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.563248, "energy": 89.159947, "activity_lines": [ 5.994035, 5.723741, 5.535957, 5.450301 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 5.799604, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.331317, "fair_value": 5.514117, "relative_strength": 6.353879, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.423284, "energy": 85.221919, "activity_lines": [ 5.963903, 5.776248, 5.565838, 5.483064 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 5.709208, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.366336, "fair_value": 5.505322, "relative_strength": 4.507409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.013039, "energy": 65.789033, "activity_lines": [ 5.876996, 5.796923, 5.585009, 5.507444 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 5.752028, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.397481, "fair_value": 5.497575, "relative_strength": 4.872116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.142003, "energy": 40.341472, "activity_lines": [ 5.810705, 5.814915, 5.607303, 5.532328 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 5.552205, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.417571, "fair_value": 5.488094, "relative_strength": 2.441231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.149661, "energy": 25.705203, "activity_lines": [ 5.700962, 5.785418, 5.610013, 5.54231 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 5.333352, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.436123, "fair_value": 5.475821, "relative_strength": -0.043741, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.703446, "energy": 21.518016, "activity_lines": [ 5.556646, 5.708949, 5.593121, 5.536876 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 5.204895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.443273, "fair_value": 5.46382, "relative_strength": -2.925289, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.472571, "energy": 34.359609, "activity_lines": [ 5.415184, 5.608086, 5.565436, 5.521958 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 5.281018, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.457808, "fair_value": 5.454309, "relative_strength": -1.50164, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.194088, "energy": 36.765909, "activity_lines": [ 5.338744, 5.524611, 5.547584, 5.51149 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 5.223926, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.465289, "fair_value": 5.443978, "relative_strength": -1.724278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.546541, "energy": 40.11619, "activity_lines": [ 5.27182, 5.44027, 5.523886, 5.496401 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 5.190622, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.468175, "fair_value": 5.435517, "relative_strength": -2.295995, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.862634, "energy": 53.657891, "activity_lines": [ 5.229001, 5.365791, 5.497741, 5.478681 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 5.190622, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.465153, "fair_value": 5.4258, "relative_strength": -3.163158, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.466634, "energy": 53.548328, "activity_lines": [ 5.210287, 5.308353, 5.472095, 5.460774 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 4.943223, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.451309, "fair_value": 5.414391, "relative_strength": -8.894946, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.567328, "energy": 78.23345, "activity_lines": [ 5.118623, 5.220985, 5.422185, 5.427101 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 4.829039, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.428659, "fair_value": 5.401823, "relative_strength": -9.078778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.440392, "energy": 83.548385, "activity_lines": [ 5.006342, 5.128426, 5.361445, 5.386955 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 4.92895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.405097, "fair_value": 5.389842, "relative_strength": -7.773234, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.014319, "energy": 81.522743, "activity_lines": [ 4.957496, 5.070037, 5.311671, 5.354715 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 4.962254, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.376737, "fair_value": 5.377566, "relative_strength": -7.263264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.794243, "energy": 81.718354, "activity_lines": [ 4.939417, 5.032667, 5.266065, 5.326145 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 4.819523, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.349528, "fair_value": 5.363976, "relative_strength": -9.597919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.143509, "energy": 83.946222, "activity_lines": [ 4.888985, 4.980073, 5.207795, 5.290196 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 5.038376, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.325899, "fair_value": 5.353337, "relative_strength": -8.452985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.359093, "energy": 52.960017, "activity_lines": [ 4.936245, 4.976613, 5.172543, 5.270121 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 4.957496, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.317969, "fair_value": 5.343194, "relative_strength": -11.18884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.758701, "energy": 49.052638, "activity_lines": [ 4.950201, 4.961475, 5.13131, 5.246353 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 5.219168, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.312736, "fair_value": 5.336731, "relative_strength": -6.862999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.894499, "energy": 33.0458, "activity_lines": [ 5.042817, 4.999796, 5.11903, 5.239979 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 5.19538, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.309405, "fair_value": 5.328968, "relative_strength": -7.542681, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.515203, "energy": 26.288286, "activity_lines": [ 5.108156, 5.033878, 5.108677, 5.232408 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 5.342867, "volume": 1931, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.319396, "fair_value": 5.32231, "relative_strength": -9.603554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.608912, "energy": 22.712596, "activity_lines": [ 5.207115, 5.09469, 5.11681, 5.234567 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 5.238199, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.328912, "fair_value": 5.314848, "relative_strength": -10.496914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.353542, "energy": 23.9136, "activity_lines": [ 5.236296, 5.133703, 5.118192, 5.229328 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 5.471325, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.340172, "fair_value": 5.310856, "relative_strength": -8.716773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.316244, "energy": 30.652087, "activity_lines": [ 5.329863, 5.209739, 5.14445, 5.238516 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 5.005073, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.335731, "fair_value": 5.300724, "relative_strength": -19.059834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.292288, "energy": 20.589875, "activity_lines": [ 5.233758, 5.189325, 5.127436, 5.216897 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 5.07168, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.332876, "fair_value": 5.289551, "relative_strength": -17.914538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.363141, "energy": 14.305993, "activity_lines": [ 5.174129, 5.179636, 5.120322, 5.199861 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 5.204895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.330498, "fair_value": 5.278992, "relative_strength": -14.825004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.810729, "energy": 11.743949, "activity_lines": [ 5.167151, 5.192179, 5.128183, 5.191604 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 5.21441, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.324313, "fair_value": 5.268359, "relative_strength": -12.782057, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.281825, "energy": 19.078858, "activity_lines": [ 5.172543, 5.199445, 5.137563, 5.184115 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 5.204895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.30433, "fair_value": 5.257613, "relative_strength": -3.439985, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.83931, "energy": 12.467831, "activity_lines": [ 5.176349, 5.201781, 5.14599, 5.17641 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 4.990799, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.267379, "fair_value": 5.245094, "relative_strength": -6.173912, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.392373, "energy": 18.756418, "activity_lines": [ 5.126552, 5.160692, 5.134391, 5.156183 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 5.319079, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.240419, "fair_value": 5.2358, "relative_strength": -5.091816, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.91463, "energy": 1.658992, "activity_lines": [ 5.187133, 5.183442, 5.155166, 5.159518 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 5.418991, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.220437, "fair_value": 5.228001, "relative_strength": -6.679109, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.997989, "energy": 23.524177, "activity_lines": [ 5.264525, 5.222109, 5.184845, 5.171039 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 5.514144, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.210921, "fair_value": 5.222495, "relative_strength": -6.283247, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.432553, "energy": 46.431814, "activity_lines": [ 5.359361, 5.276693, 5.222498, 5.189988 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 5.528417, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.55, "trend": 5.204895, "fair_value": 5.217027, "relative_strength": -10.013322, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.253023, "energy": 68.91454, "activity_lines": [ 5.438973, 5.328854, 5.258793, 5.210471 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 5.618813, "volume": 1825, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.200455, "fair_value": 5.212111, "relative_strength": -10.970915, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.499385, "energy": 74.087978, "activity_lines": [ 5.527148, 5.396413, 5.300366, 5.237176 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 5.485598, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.198234, "fair_value": 5.205594, "relative_strength": -11.740852, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.966932, "energy": 68.169328, "activity_lines": [ 5.529051, 5.428592, 5.325967, 5.255572 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 5.847181, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.215362, "fair_value": 5.203611, "relative_strength": -6.579945, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.344238, "energy": 79.357269, "activity_lines": [ 5.640381, 5.518988, 5.383512, 5.297439 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 5.818635, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.23582, "fair_value": 5.203581, "relative_strength": -7.144837, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.726326, "energy": 83.744891, "activity_lines": [ 5.713649, 5.592516, 5.433445, 5.33636 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 5.861454, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.255168, "fair_value": 5.206362, "relative_strength": -4.119016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.142632, "energy": 82.755583, "activity_lines": [ 5.780891, 5.662843, 5.48374, 5.376724 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 5.955, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.279537, "fair_value": 5.209262, "relative_strength": -1.825427, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.833894, "energy": 87.535124, "activity_lines": [ 5.857112, 5.738241, 5.53864, 5.421874 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 5.91, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 187.8, "trend": 5.303516, "fair_value": 5.214597, "relative_strength": -4.290433, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.132226, "energy": 81.330136, "activity_lines": [ 5.895921, 5.787926, 5.58575, 5.462549 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 5.955, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.328995, "fair_value": 5.218856, "relative_strength": -2.679517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.671008, "energy": 73.81309, "activity_lines": [ 5.921436, 5.835049, 5.633743, 5.504581 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 5.88, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.360221, "fair_value": 5.222635, "relative_strength": -5.871885, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.865323, "energy": 65.656768, "activity_lines": [ 5.914764, 5.85879, 5.671679, 5.540129 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 5.89, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.395587, "fair_value": 5.225086, "relative_strength": -5.681404, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.56514, "energy": 58.207616, "activity_lines": [ 5.907333, 5.877697, 5.70751, 5.574308 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 5.855, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.426455, "fair_value": 5.226562, "relative_strength": -7.998138, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.680631, "energy": 49.234368, "activity_lines": [ 5.886333, 5.883667, 5.738015, 5.603948 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 5.765, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.453213, "fair_value": 5.22774, "relative_strength": -6.797806, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.140501, "energy": 35.791088, "activity_lines": [ 5.842, 5.868978, 5.7559, 5.62579 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 5.96, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.491229, "fair_value": 5.228832, "relative_strength": -8.80037, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.315163, "energy": 38.26802, "activity_lines": [ 5.872333, 5.884664, 5.789056, 5.658486 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 5.77, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.515617, "fair_value": 5.230876, "relative_strength": -13.714215, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.742196, "energy": 27.414168, "activity_lines": [ 5.839, 5.863754, 5.800521, 5.676471 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 5.775, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.542867, "fair_value": 5.234732, "relative_strength": -12.286613, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.698993, "energy": 22.692507, "activity_lines": [ 5.814667, 5.844636, 5.809816, 5.693205 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 5.65, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.557228, "fair_value": 5.237982, "relative_strength": -10.708268, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.083607, "energy": 11.593334, "activity_lines": [ 5.756333, 5.804364, 5.804492, 5.700117 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 5.63, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.571715, "fair_value": 5.24166, "relative_strength": -10.201314, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.166214, "energy": 14.900126, "activity_lines": [ 5.705, 5.766, 5.794123, 5.704812 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 5.635, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.581453, "fair_value": 5.246038, "relative_strength": -10.489109, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.303666, "energy": 19.332101, "activity_lines": [ 5.664333, 5.733636, 5.782751, 5.708895 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 5.59, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.59318, "fair_value": 5.253745, "relative_strength": -10.21312, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.189806, "energy": 25.437768, "activity_lines": [ 5.630333, 5.698909, 5.766064, 5.709446 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 5.52, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 91.25, "trend": 5.594802, "fair_value": 5.261508, "relative_strength": -11.235122, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.486481, "energy": 49.00794, "activity_lines": [ 5.585, 5.656727, 5.742349, 5.704725 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 5.445, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.609466, "fair_value": 5.269315, "relative_strength": -13.7549, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.332604, "energy": 59.071495, "activity_lines": [ 5.531667, 5.607636, 5.711532, 5.69506 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 5.45, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.622077, "fair_value": 5.277275, "relative_strength": -11.481557, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.024697, "energy": 61.95539, "activity_lines": [ 5.493667, 5.566909, 5.682018, 5.684772 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 5.58, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.634581, "fair_value": 5.286025, "relative_strength": -7.124675, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.231183, "energy": 49.255632, "activity_lines": [ 5.511, 5.555545, 5.665055, 5.682058 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 5.6, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.647434, "fair_value": 5.292376, "relative_strength": -8.076481, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.997782, "energy": 34.778563, "activity_lines": [ 5.538667, 5.554727, 5.651269, 5.679827 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 5.485, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.65677, "fair_value": 5.297629, "relative_strength": -12.141817, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.081467, "energy": 32.754013, "activity_lines": [ 5.527333, 5.536091, 5.627571, 5.669347 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 5.425, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.671244, "fair_value": 5.299492, "relative_strength": -11.691164, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.08062, "energy": 45.33955, "activity_lines": [ 5.498333, 5.511818, 5.599952, 5.654394 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 5.26, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.669274, "fair_value": 5.301021, "relative_strength": -15.623281, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.010281, "energy": 74.960511, "activity_lines": [ 5.415667, 5.461636, 5.559143, 5.627862 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 5.09, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.658308, "fair_value": 5.300153, "relative_strength": -16.736895, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.680124, "energy": 91.813965, "activity_lines": [ 5.289, 5.387273, 5.505238, 5.59049 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 5.265, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.650003, "fair_value": 5.300351, "relative_strength": -17.147873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.682016, "energy": 84.682873, "activity_lines": [ 5.253333, 5.354636, 5.472119, 5.565115 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 5.25, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.640723, "fair_value": 5.300731, "relative_strength": -18.039192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.997015, "energy": 85.826617, "activity_lines": [ 5.235, 5.325182, 5.4405, 5.539308 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 5.24, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.628096, "fair_value": 5.299989, "relative_strength": -18.127311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.823512, "energy": 77.869667, "activity_lines": [ 5.229, 5.298818, 5.410976, 5.513455 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 5.215, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.619076, "fair_value": 5.300312, "relative_strength": -20.135723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.091277, "energy": 57.632683, "activity_lines": [ 5.227, 5.271636, 5.382, 5.486804 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 5.32, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.601503, "fair_value": 5.300723, "relative_strength": -18.291246, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.008821, "energy": 47.898544, "activity_lines": [ 5.263, 5.267818, 5.365643, 5.467509 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 5.4, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.587548, "fair_value": 5.300312, "relative_strength": -18.238884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.62484, "energy": 32.999636, "activity_lines": [ 5.310333, 5.283273, 5.359952, 5.454509 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 5.285, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.568333, "fair_value": 5.297243, "relative_strength": -20.318299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.289814, "energy": 28.202417, "activity_lines": [ 5.310333, 5.281455, 5.345071, 5.434989 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 5.225, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.544, "fair_value": 5.294598, "relative_strength": -21.726059, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.607737, "energy": 29.233839, "activity_lines": [ 5.288, 5.272364, 5.32681, 5.412839 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 5.15, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.518667, "fair_value": 5.289968, "relative_strength": -23.100702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.61164, "energy": 40.949622, "activity_lines": [ 5.241667, 5.253273, 5.303429, 5.387419 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 5.26, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.4955, "fair_value": 5.285266, "relative_strength": -22.151068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.141156, "energy": 38.326654, "activity_lines": [ 5.236333, 5.256182, 5.29281, 5.370731 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 5.35, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.477833, "fair_value": 5.281557, "relative_strength": -21.169807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.953984, "energy": 30.951094, "activity_lines": [ 5.265, 5.272364, 5.292548, 5.361344 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 5.205, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.455, "fair_value": 5.277392, "relative_strength": -22.242949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.183586, "energy": 33.719259, "activity_lines": [ 5.248667, 5.260636, 5.279619, 5.343742 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 5.35, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.438167, "fair_value": 5.274073, "relative_strength": -22.152466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.065894, "energy": 14.759025, "activity_lines": [ 5.286, 5.276091, 5.282, 5.336968 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 5.705, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.436167, "fair_value": 5.274114, "relative_strength": -15.007559, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.542624, "energy": 25.218775, "activity_lines": [ 5.433333, 5.354091, 5.318643, 5.354183 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 5.285, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.413667, "fair_value": 5.272938, "relative_strength": -16.665354, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.669652, "energy": 16.615224, "activity_lines": [ 5.403667, 5.346818, 5.314071, 5.34443 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 5.15, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.393, "fair_value": 5.273066, "relative_strength": -16.348776, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.989261, "energy": 17.439992, "activity_lines": [ 5.327333, 5.315636, 5.298048, 5.327419 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 5.08, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.369833, "fair_value": 5.273942, "relative_strength": -16.064994, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.211149, "energy": 26.275625, "activity_lines": [ 5.241, 5.276273, 5.2775, 5.307226 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 4.916, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.345367, "fair_value": 5.274434, "relative_strength": -19.525545, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.405967, "energy": 52.86631, "activity_lines": [ 5.108333, 5.210818, 5.243262, 5.277946 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 5.165, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.329867, "fair_value": 5.276106, "relative_strength": -17.744218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.637525, "energy": 55.135756, "activity_lines": [ 5.0876, 5.196255, 5.235162, 5.26631 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 5.355, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.320533, "fair_value": 5.277548, "relative_strength": -19.37647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.474397, "energy": 40.124655, "activity_lines": [ 5.1662, 5.215964, 5.24561, 5.267931 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 5.59, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.320533, "fair_value": 5.281777, "relative_strength": -17.288153, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.874401, "energy": 4.928891, "activity_lines": [ 5.318467, 5.276673, 5.277176, 5.285316 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 5.455, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.318367, "fair_value": 5.28475, "relative_strength": -15.875108, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.404941, "energy": 25.698971, "activity_lines": [ 5.3964, 5.308473, 5.294338, 5.293991 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 5.43, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.317867, "fair_value": 5.288009, "relative_strength": -16.277942, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.033217, "energy": 29.7384, "activity_lines": [ 5.441, 5.331182, 5.308143, 5.301194 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 5.465, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.318367, "fair_value": 5.291882, "relative_strength": -16.504821, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.457108, "energy": 39.598269, "activity_lines": [ 5.463, 5.3588, 5.324376, 5.310686 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 5.36, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.311033, "fair_value": 5.295776, "relative_strength": -17.275194, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.217945, "energy": 42.90907, "activity_lines": [ 5.43, 5.371691, 5.329419, 5.313372 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 5.57, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.310033, "fair_value": 5.301018, "relative_strength": -15.326921, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.99462, "energy": 40.583738, "activity_lines": [ 5.466667, 5.4214, 5.354271, 5.33008 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 5.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.318867, "fair_value": 5.306912, "relative_strength": -14.374446, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.274395, "energy": 60.439571, "activity_lines": [ 5.564667, 5.4962, 5.395457, 5.358465 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 5.191733, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.311091, "fair_value": 5.307753, "relative_strength": -21.235249, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.002412, "energy": 18.689599, "activity_lines": [ 5.456911, 5.457315, 5.38126, 5.350262 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 5.394314, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.315568, "fair_value": 5.310671, "relative_strength": -19.754698, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.686521, "energy": 22.596258, "activity_lines": [ 5.432567, 5.45025, 5.386515, 5.355632 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 5.318935, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.323199, "fair_value": 5.314108, "relative_strength": -23.368301, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.64173, "energy": 12.387434, "activity_lines": [ 5.387809, 5.42531, 5.383428, 5.355849 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 5.370758, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.326725, "fair_value": 5.317544, "relative_strength": -20.436937, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.409679, "energy": 20.498567, "activity_lines": [ 5.363063, 5.410448, 5.384995, 5.358917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 5.38018, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.331064, "fair_value": 5.321062, "relative_strength": -21.464225, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.331257, "energy": 15.81545, "activity_lines": [ 5.35474, 5.401285, 5.387361, 5.362366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.435, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 5.337564, "fair_value": 5.323562, "relative_strength": -18.96552, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.742494, "energy": 14.726907, "activity_lines": [ 5.389345, 5.403451, 5.394114, 5.369071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.565, "volume": 1753, "typical_volume": 87.65, "trend": 5.349231, "fair_value": 5.327537, "relative_strength": -14.767784, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.444028, "energy": 30.521566, "activity_lines": [ 5.451066, 5.429161, 5.412843, 5.383745 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.61, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 87.65, "trend": 5.358897, "fair_value": 5.330052, "relative_strength": -14.632058, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.272571, "energy": 52.377438, "activity_lines": [ 5.516408, 5.461235, 5.436524, 5.400568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.59, "volume": 1753, "typical_volume": 175.3, "trend": 5.365231, "fair_value": 5.332118, "relative_strength": -14.270333, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.507705, "energy": 59.049409, "activity_lines": [ 5.555679, 5.485128, 5.456753, 5.415478 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.555, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 175.3, "trend": 5.374231, "fair_value": 5.334455, "relative_strength": -16.622913, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.157393, "energy": 58.640455, "activity_lines": [ 5.568667, 5.502293, 5.471554, 5.427722 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }