{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7fd4271-dc5a-4b0c-97d7-7caa5bd58866", "symbol": "BIOG-B", "name": "BioGaia AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 60.807, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.068, "architecture_energy": 27.609, "architecture_maturity": 31.963, "architecture_confidence": 61.793, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.56, "rotation_up": 18.77, "upward_expansion": 24.19, "deceleration": 55.21, "rotation_down": 57.87, "downward_expansion": 40.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.519999, 117.34, 119.867243, 118.369545 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 111.5, "trend_reference": 115.560042, "distance_from_trend": -0.035134, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.967091, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.08287, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.764627, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.053323, "excess_performance": -0.008171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.035134, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060609, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.08287, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198119, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087646, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.217924, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.053323, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.75915, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 614299, "relative_activity": 0.881591, "balance": 0.75915, "dry_up": 1.130213, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062159, "annualized_volatility": 0.295334, "from_high_reference": -0.181952, "from_low_reference": 0.234151 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 115.560042, "fair_value_reference": 102.967091, "structural_low": 94.513783, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 767973.6, "trend": 113.539841, "fair_value": 102.249705, "relative_strength": -0.736192, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.698134, "energy": 20.823047, "activity_lines": [ 118.653334, 121.490909, 120.730131, 117.789532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 124.800003, "volume": 1238343, "typical_volume": 780803.6, "trend": 114.473447, "fair_value": 102.490574, "relative_strength": 7.295259, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.448246, "energy": 19.440163, "activity_lines": [ 120.386668, 121.643637, 121.355591, 118.515994 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 115.599998, "volume": 846497, "typical_volume": 766425.75, "trend": 115.01799, "fair_value": 102.671918, "relative_strength": -2.201266, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.584155, "energy": 7.813438, "activity_lines": [ 119.033334, 120.196364, 121.026189, 118.588675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.599998, "volume": 451023, "typical_volume": 735072.15, "trend": 115.478521, "fair_value": 102.846115, "relative_strength": -3.579933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.040548, "energy": 9.338443, "activity_lines": [ 117.853333, 119.001818, 120.655462, 118.626224 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.5, "volume": 614299, "typical_volume": 696807.25, "trend": 115.560042, "fair_value": 102.967091, "relative_strength": -8.764627, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.067611, "energy": 27.609048, "activity_lines": [ 115.519999, 117.34, 119.867243, 118.369545 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }