{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8036987-d14e-487c-952d-0a7ad7d99ab5", "symbol": "BLOE", "name": "Block Energy Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.345, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.863, "architecture_energy": 20.331, "architecture_maturity": 31.424, "architecture_confidence": 79.146, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.17, "rotation_up": 29.64, "upward_expansion": 20.51, "deceleration": 36.3, "rotation_down": 31.55, "downward_expansion": 59.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0098, 0.009618, 0.009994, 0.010284 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.0095, "trend_reference": 0.010415, "distance_from_trend": -0.087854, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.009763, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.026984, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.64782, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.136364, "excess_performance": -0.187599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087854, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081329, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.026984, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066478, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149494, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.136364, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.441878, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9261351, "relative_activity": 0.442524, "balance": 1.441878, "dry_up": 0.543977, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120486, "annualized_volatility": 0.481615, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.583333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.010415, "fair_value_reference": 0.009763, "structural_low": 0.0085, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": -0.02926, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.255319, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.051282, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.00413, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.756098, "worst_return": -0.364583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.09, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.071679, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.846154, "worst_return": -0.479167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 0.00875, "volume": 13357489, "typical_volume": 21131437.1, "trend": 0.010073, "fair_value": 0.009826, "relative_strength": -11.160794, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.071421, "energy": 41.533503, "activity_lines": [ 0.009217, 0.009536, 0.010302, 0.010378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.009, "volume": 4190547, "typical_volume": 20625693.75, "trend": 0.010107, "fair_value": 0.0098, "relative_strength": -9.176844, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.200896, "energy": 49.752035, "activity_lines": [ 0.009117, 0.009382, 0.010143, 0.010309 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.01025, "volume": 22605584, "typical_volume": 21157047.9, "trend": 0.010215, "fair_value": 0.009784, "relative_strength": 2.081398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.617014, "energy": 31.714075, "activity_lines": [ 0.009467, 0.009486, 0.01011, 0.010318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0105, "volume": 9480982, "typical_volume": 21138168.8, "trend": 0.010315, "fair_value": 0.009771, "relative_strength": 3.299391, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.367631, "energy": 13.624279, "activity_lines": [ 0.009833, 0.009641, 0.0101, 0.010337 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0095, "volume": 9261351, "typical_volume": 20928479.6, "trend": 0.010415, "fair_value": 0.009763, "relative_strength": -6.64782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.862512, "energy": 20.331024, "activity_lines": [ 0.0098, 0.009618, 0.009994, 0.010284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }