{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f813ad00-7b0b-4fdb-a9a6-871849294d7a", "symbol": "ESGI", "name": "VanEck MSCI International Sustainable Equity ETF", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.527, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.8, "architecture_energy": 64.605, "architecture_maturity": 33.954, "architecture_confidence": 71.688, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.99, "rotation_up": 55.94, "upward_expansion": 82.62, "deceleration": 68.44, "rotation_down": 25.18, "downward_expansion": 11.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.377333, 37.188115, 35.989937, 35.248479 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.0, "trend_reference": 34.70342, "distance_from_trend": 0.094993, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.03989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.150125, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.06269, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.121937, "excess_performance": 0.058231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094993, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004221, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.150125, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128341, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020627, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088689, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121937, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.039642, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22461, "relative_activity": 0.603258, "balance": 1.039642, "dry_up": 1.403897, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026292, "annualized_volatility": 0.141126, "from_high_reference": -0.012474, "from_low_reference": 0.200632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.70342, "fair_value_reference": 33.03989, "structural_low": 31.65, "invalidation": "A 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35.018478, 34.136773, 34.157158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 37.880001, "volume": 2124, "typical_volume": 35759.0, "trend": 34.571754, "fair_value": 32.689747, "relative_strength": 6.753241, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 62.063453, "energy": 85.473774, "activity_lines": [ 36.752421, 35.666249, 34.533475, 34.373797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 37.610001, "volume": 39092, "typical_volume": 34864.75, "trend": 34.603754, "fair_value": 32.765944, "relative_strength": 6.40726, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.279822, "energy": 82.121395, "activity_lines": [ 37.171353, 36.180747, 34.884177, 34.569813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.23, "volume": 77684, "typical_volume": 37096.75, "trend": 34.630087, "fair_value": 32.836948, "relative_strength": 5.366673, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.837066, "energy": 87.059912, "activity_lines": [ 37.318359, 36.532191, 35.181926, 34.739249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.77, "volume": 63977, "typical_volume": 38245.45, "trend": 34.647087, "fair_value": 32.90112, "relative_strength": 4.34687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.888468, "energy": 82.381066, "activity_lines": [ 37.207687, 36.720911, 35.420343, 34.877308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.07, "volume": 44962, "typical_volume": 37755.65, "trend": 34.669754, "fair_value": 32.968734, "relative_strength": 2.792044, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.150736, "energy": 61.057812, "activity_lines": [ 37.148, 36.896639, 35.672521, 35.033624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.0, "volume": 22461, "typical_volume": 37232.8, "trend": 34.70342, "fair_value": 33.03989, "relative_strength": 2.06269, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.799744, "energy": 64.604705, "activity_lines": [ 37.377333, 37.188115, 35.989937, 35.248479 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }