{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f81b6993-c6ea-476d-bc1d-5a12a07ecb86",
    "symbol": "1711",
    "name": "Everlight Chemical Industrial Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.327,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.002,
    "architecture_energy": 56.489,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.795,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.015,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.19,
        "rotation_up": 14.74,
        "upward_expansion": 27.49,
        "deceleration": 49.43,
        "rotation_down": 66.98,
        "downward_expansion": 54.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.809999,
        38.10909,
        42.216904,
        41.838494
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.5,
    "trend_reference": 38.886667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009943,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.296809,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.652587,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.334979,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.699779,
    "excess_performance": 0.258407,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009943,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220868,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.652587,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.722812,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03335,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.552824,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.699779,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.518434,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35045094,
      "relative_activity": 0.459237,
      "balance": 0.518434,
      "dry_up": 0.327361,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.143157,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.732267,
      "from_high_reference": -0.401244,
      "from_low_reference": 1.340425
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.886667,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.296809,
      "structural_low": 22.549999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.015267,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002228,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.035629,
        "worst_return": -0.016355,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.027437,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031116,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.043257,
        "worst_return": -0.098131,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.062822,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133192,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.091603,
        "worst_return": -0.217247,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.13018,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173024,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.34913,
        "worst_return": -0.088771,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.06885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.182448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.114534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051136,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08311,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 1.254157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.265589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.112717,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 100312284.2,
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        "fair_value": 23.021252,
        "relative_strength": -5.515177,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 32267774,
        "typical_volume": 92637987.65,
        "trend": 37.828333,
        "fair_value": 23.090515,
        "relative_strength": -14.728423,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.393565,
        "energy": 59.925051,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.77,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.599998,
        "volume": 12777957,
        "typical_volume": 76643757.45,
        "trend": 38.305,
        "fair_value": 23.180538,
        "relative_strength": -9.71931,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.381986,
        "energy": 60.233154,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.269999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 38.5,
        "volume": 35045094,
        "typical_volume": 76311565.5,
        "trend": 38.886667,
        "fair_value": 23.296809,
        "relative_strength": -3.334979,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.002005,
        "energy": 56.488965,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}