{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f82173ac-0065-471c-902f-7cdf61259bd1", "symbol": "SPTM", "name": "STATE STREET SPDR PORTFOLIO S&P 1500 COMPOSITE STOCK MARKET ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.281, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.733, "architecture_energy": 56.039, "architecture_maturity": 49.772, "architecture_confidence": 81.772, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.59, "rotation_up": 56.34, "upward_expansion": 81.26, "deceleration": 60.31, "rotation_down": 25.36, "downward_expansion": 7.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.599333, 91.00281, 90.043512, 88.28725 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 93.89, "trend_reference": 86.315331, "distance_from_trend": 0.087756, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.78587, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.326395, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.05946, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.120511, "excess_performance": -0.005114, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087756, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034479, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.326395, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006113, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000595, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001638, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.120511, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.95291, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2547521, "relative_activity": 0.835448, "balance": 1.95291, "dry_up": 0.755285, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024282, "annualized_volatility": 0.137511, "from_high_reference": -0.004348, "from_low_reference": 0.23415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.315331, "fair_value_reference": 70.78587, "structural_low": 76.54, 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.554772, "energy": 53.616071, "activity_lines": [ 90.555347, 90.290984, 88.373016, 86.847411 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 90.29, "volume": 2218419, "typical_volume": 3985102.75, "trend": 85.491039, "fair_value": 70.052696, "relative_strength": -0.012301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.179321, "energy": 48.283741, "activity_lines": [ 90.540624, 90.330087, 88.763673, 87.174456 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.81, "volume": 2453194, "typical_volume": 3677343.3, "trend": 85.707256, "fair_value": 70.281149, "relative_strength": 0.042109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.349336, "energy": 45.967744, "activity_lines": [ 90.339333, 90.262342, 89.074967, 87.453098 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.73, "volume": 1993197, "typical_volume": 3357497.3, "trend": 85.983387, "fair_value": 70.522732, "relative_strength": -0.029603, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.805185, "energy": 44.705704, "activity_lines": [ 90.501333, 90.351022, 89.434018, 87.777146 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.89, "volume": 2547521, "typical_volume": 3049288.55, "trend": 86.315331, "fair_value": 70.78587, "relative_strength": -0.05946, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.733126, "energy": 56.039205, "activity_lines": [ 91.599333, 91.00281, 90.043512, 88.28725 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }