{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8262606-32b1-4631-8017-9b8abbaaa0f9", "symbol": "WNDU", "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.197, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.602, "architecture_energy": 44.691, "architecture_maturity": 43.421, "architecture_confidence": 66.537, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.79, "rotation_up": 51.56, "upward_expansion": 75.95, "deceleration": 63.23, "rotation_down": 22.61, "downward_expansion": 4.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.604668, 98.215274, 97.271167, 96.295398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 101.055, "trend_reference": 95.241834, "distance_from_trend": 0.061036, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 75.046475, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346566, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.842196, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.063961, "excess_performance": 0.012726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061036, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.346566, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003971, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028422, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025532, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063961, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.386076, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6976, "relative_activity": 0.657989, "balance": 0.386076, "dry_up": 0.725571, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025199, "annualized_volatility": 0.164753, "from_high_reference": -0.010816, "from_low_reference": 0.249135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.241834, "fair_value_reference": 75.046475, "structural_low": 86.278099, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": 0.006741, "positive_rate": 0.682927, "directional_follow_through": 0.682927, "median_excess_return": 0.001835, "regime_survival": 0.731707, "best_return": 0.06955, "worst_return": -0.110195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.034604, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.011819, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.202994, "worst_return": -0.070802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.077106, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.062141, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.16454, "worst_return": -0.019638, "sufficient": true }, { 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93.802334, "fair_value": 74.00359, "relative_strength": 3.242957, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.514257, "energy": 61.624011, "activity_lines": [ 98.108669, 97.310183, 96.087453, 95.296624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 96.639999, "volume": 3361, "typical_volume": 20652.05, "trend": 94.160334, "fair_value": 74.252468, "relative_strength": 1.164018, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.588182, "energy": 46.966723, "activity_lines": [ 97.743335, 97.285637, 96.247929, 95.479699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.800003, "volume": 6573, "typical_volume": 10901.25, "trend": 94.532668, "fair_value": 74.505802, "relative_strength": 1.100038, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.763784, "energy": 38.221672, "activity_lines": [ 97.697002, 97.472911, 96.526263, 95.714517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.360001, "volume": 13860, "typical_volume": 11088.9, "trend": 94.878667, "fair_value": 74.762308, "relative_strength": -0.582117, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.395057, "energy": 28.73499, "activity_lines": [ 97.533335, 97.526365, 96.739215, 95.896925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 101.055, "volume": 6976, "typical_volume": 10602.0, "trend": 95.241834, "fair_value": 75.046475, "relative_strength": 2.842196, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.601655, "energy": 44.691134, "activity_lines": [ 98.604668, 98.215274, 97.271167, 96.295398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }