{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8348ea5-d1fb-4a3b-a5f7-e51a73860da5", "symbol": "TULP", "name": "Bloomia Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.557, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.92, "architecture_energy": 49.504, "architecture_maturity": 20.165, "architecture_confidence": 89.218, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.48, "rotation_up": 14.3, "upward_expansion": 8.69, "deceleration": 42.77, "rotation_down": 63.45, "downward_expansion": 84.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.476667, 3.569636, 3.701162, 3.788356 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.41, "trend_reference": 3.906347, "distance_from_trend": -0.127062, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.478997, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.238669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.083882, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.289583, "excess_performance": -0.477037, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.127062, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002171, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.238669, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088041, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280839, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040405, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.289583, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.880008, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12465, "relative_activity": 0.722571, "balance": 0.880008, "dry_up": 0.982963, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110932, "annualized_volatility": 0.435031, "from_high_reference": -0.449111, "from_low_reference": 0.096463 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.906347, "fair_value_reference": 4.478997, "structural_low": 3.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.011251, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011545, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.250936, "worst_return": -0.22528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.150273, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.077045, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.638577, "worst_return": -0.087797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071646, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.172745, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.928839, "worst_return": -0.194175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 38.362921, "activity_lines": [ 3.660333, 3.706909, 3.797201, 3.862486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.27, "volume": 32976, "typical_volume": 16838.45, "trend": 3.91018, "fair_value": 4.504029, "relative_strength": -28.389877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.484023, "energy": 57.899584, "activity_lines": [ 3.531333, 3.617, 3.740866, 3.820625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.41, "volume": 12465, "typical_volume": 17250.9, "trend": 3.906347, "fair_value": 4.478997, "relative_strength": -28.083882, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.920054, "energy": 49.504358, "activity_lines": [ 3.476667, 3.569636, 3.701162, 3.788356 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }