{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f83af29b-d08b-482c-a61b-1ddbe313d18a", "symbol": "ALTUV", "name": "BIO-UV Group S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.817, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.112, "architecture_energy": 35.997, "architecture_maturity": 6.014, "architecture_confidence": 89.363, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.51, "rotation_up": 18.5, "upward_expansion": 7.35, "deceleration": 42.74, "rotation_down": 54.41, "downward_expansion": 78.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.326667, 1.332455, 1.347714, 1.352632 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.36, "trend_reference": 1.359767, "distance_from_trend": 0.000172, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.973898, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311008, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.461464, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.033435, "excess_performance": -0.019877, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000172, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046915, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.311008, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070018, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134615, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041507, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033435, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.762672, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63315, "relative_activity": 1.021332, "balance": 1.762672, "dry_up": 0.874302, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037613, "annualized_volatility": 0.383884, "from_high_reference": -0.252747, "from_low_reference": 0.118421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.359767, "fair_value_reference": 1.973898, "structural_low": 1.216, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": -0.006777, "positive_rate": 0.386364, "directional_follow_through": 0.613636, "median_excess_return": -0.013919, "regime_survival": 0.840909, "best_return": 0.191411, "worst_return": -0.166647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.078271, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.01558, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.193026, "worst_return": -0.27681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.091122, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.168713, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.13, "worst_return": -0.40005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -50.012767, "energy": 42.241899, "activity_lines": [ 1.342333, 1.358455, 1.362871, 1.365525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.34, "volume": 14138, "typical_volume": 66722.95, "trend": 1.3766, "fair_value": 2.01637, "relative_strength": -13.018774, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.974285, "energy": 45.633697, "activity_lines": [ 1.340667, 1.353364, 1.360462, 1.362755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.31, "volume": 95068, "typical_volume": 68662.85, "trend": 1.371533, "fair_value": 2.001793, "relative_strength": -14.570401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.609214, "energy": 50.193358, "activity_lines": [ 1.330667, 1.343, 1.355024, 1.358458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.285, "volume": 44280, "typical_volume": 64161.7, "trend": 1.363767, "fair_value": 1.987558, "relative_strength": -16.854063, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.237574, "energy": 58.442591, "activity_lines": [ 1.314333, 1.329909, 1.347195, 1.352875 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.36, "volume": 63315, "typical_volume": 61992.6, "trend": 1.359767, "fair_value": 1.973898, "relative_strength": -13.461464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.111958, "energy": 35.996835, "activity_lines": [ 1.326667, 1.332455, 1.347714, 1.352632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }