{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f846340d-93b5-468b-be74-8d44477cea31",
    "symbol": "MPCC",
    "name": "MPC Container Ships ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.376,
    "architecture_energy": 20.092,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.643,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.142,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.82,
        "rotation_up": 26.91,
        "upward_expansion": 54.7,
        "deceleration": 89.7,
        "rotation_down": 25.92,
        "downward_expansion": 18.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.369333,
        24.589111,
        24.249852,
        23.602112
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 24.26,
    "trend_reference": 22.404491,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082819,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.654344,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.54973,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.404875,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.349152,
    "excess_performance": 0.224159,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082819,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133679,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.54973,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053901,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094049,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041069,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.349152,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.98777,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5846545,
      "relative_activity": 1.072671,
      "balance": 0.98777,
      "dry_up": 0.921241,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065931,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.304332,
      "from_high_reference": -0.102147,
      "from_low_reference": 0.664815
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.404491,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.654344,
      "structural_low": 17.800426,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.022974,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05232,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.092068,
        "worst_return": -0.227153,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011885,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.231511,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.08232,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092499,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.366712,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.133281,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.14511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.870001,
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        "typical_volume": 6327483.15,
        "trend": 21.938613,
        "fair_value": 15.461814,
        "relative_strength": 13.547257,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.148119,
        "energy": 23.807685,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.459999,
        "volume": 3921250,
        "typical_volume": 5931719.05,
        "trend": 22.189988,
        "fair_value": 15.558331,
        "relative_strength": 10.852869,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.144537,
        "energy": 20.071111,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.412,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.26,
        "volume": 5846545,
        "typical_volume": 5450456.8,
        "trend": 22.404491,
        "fair_value": 15.654344,
        "relative_strength": 9.404875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.376131,
        "energy": 20.091678,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}