{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f85359e9-2247-4b2e-b7ca-3b3d2bfc86a9", "symbol": "AMR", "name": "Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.661, "architecture_energy": 69.991, "architecture_maturity": 23.973, "architecture_confidence": 88.637, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.69, "rotation_up": 12.1, "upward_expansion": 15.23, "deceleration": 39.18, "rotation_down": 72.42, "downward_expansion": 90.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.766667, 152.846, 167.068714, 174.087355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 151.95, "trend_reference": 184.107667, "distance_from_trend": -0.174668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 215.700379, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.295551, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.105936, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.263523, "excess_performance": -0.389148, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.174668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039988, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.295551, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152278, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.241059, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235035, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.263523, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.37588, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1819907, "relative_activity": 1.401858, "balance": 0.37588, "dry_up": 1.133313, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130086, "annualized_volatility": 0.493507, "from_high_reference": -0.401347, "from_low_reference": 0.13701 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.107667, "fair_value_reference": 215.700379, 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216.499754, "relative_strength": -12.771734, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.799634, "energy": 24.328177, "activity_lines": [ 185.034667, 186.200545, 188.321048, 191.446968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 160.0, "volume": 799420, "typical_volume": 1314061.75, "trend": 194.81, "fair_value": 216.502901, "relative_strength": -17.493779, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.340022, "energy": 54.745391, "activity_lines": [ 174.822, 181.438909, 185.689619, 189.160172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 146.69, "volume": 1324757, "typical_volume": 1333233.55, "trend": 193.532, "fair_value": 216.457765, "relative_strength": -25.35174, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.517595, "energy": 73.847031, "activity_lines": [ 162.770667, 174.752364, 181.912095, 186.055656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 143.8, "volume": 1040617, "typical_volume": 1286189.7, "trend": 191.39, "fair_value": 216.330564, "relative_strength": -25.637454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.096065, "energy": 79.514223, "activity_lines": [ 153.468667, 168.189091, 177.997, 182.84714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 142.94, "volume": 1189603, "typical_volume": 1258996.4, "trend": 189.316667, "fair_value": 216.16126, "relative_strength": -25.537588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.662593, "energy": 81.317044, "activity_lines": [ 147.681333, 162.202364, 174.089762, 179.721333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.16, "volume": 1834990, "typical_volume": 1274995.8, "trend": 187.12, "fair_value": 215.912439, "relative_strength": -29.304817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.594577, "energy": 83.351618, "activity_lines": [ 142.822667, 155.832909, 169.754238, 176.356387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 151.95, "volume": 1819907, "typical_volume": 1298210.9, "trend": 184.107667, "fair_value": 215.700379, "relative_strength": -24.105936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.661158, "energy": 69.990816, "activity_lines": [ 144.766667, 152.846, 167.068714, 174.087355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }