{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f85ef497-f57f-4607-a414-7a422689e219", "symbol": "KTKBANK", "name": "The Karnataka Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.173, "architecture_energy": 80.467, "architecture_maturity": 66.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.0, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.72, "rotation_up": 76.38, "upward_expansion": 92.0, "deceleration": 44.49, "rotation_down": 14.24, "downward_expansion": 16.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 290.050002, 281.589094, 272.473526, 261.133529 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 310.0, "trend_reference": 243.103668, "distance_from_trend": 0.275176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 210.799713, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.47059, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 42.576531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.547678, "excess_performance": 0.591388, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.275176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123848, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.47059, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186212, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.425765, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065918, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.547678, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.988227, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22474953, "relative_activity": 1.914514, "balance": 5.988227, "dry_up": 1.369715, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052804, "annualized_volatility": 0.281024, "from_high_reference": -0.021465, "from_low_reference": 0.884863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 243.103668, "fair_value_reference": 210.799713, "structural_low": 195.550003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.005618, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": 0.021499, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.592166, "worst_return": -0.114835, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.047372, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031869, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.803249, "worst_return": -0.147706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.312967, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.252799, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.278689, "worst_return": -0.200236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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271.15, 269.870912, 262.323526, 250.449119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 279.700012, "volume": 11933010, "typical_volume": 12445594.9, "trend": 236.199001, "fair_value": 209.630248, "relative_strength": 36.051275, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.813957, "energy": 49.106786, "activity_lines": [ 274.170003, 272.16455, 264.878193, 253.422109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 284.75, "volume": 23068265, "typical_volume": 11869851.55, "trend": 239.024001, "fair_value": 210.17961, "relative_strength": 33.63633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.442504, "energy": 59.2575, "activity_lines": [ 278.540002, 274.765458, 267.61905, 256.554432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 310.0, "volume": 22474953, "typical_volume": 11739246.1, "trend": 243.103668, "fair_value": 210.799713, "relative_strength": 42.576531, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.172589, "energy": 80.4665, "activity_lines": [ 290.050002, 281.589094, 272.473526, 261.133529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }