{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f86b45f4-58ab-4ab5-8b23-dcfea090fb04", "symbol": "002772", "name": "Tianshui Zhongxing Bio-technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.411, "architecture_energy": 86.205, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.044, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.32, "rotation_up": 10.58, "upward_expansion": 21.71, "deceleration": 37.11, "rotation_down": 74.86, "downward_expansion": 95.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.364, 11.152364, 12.605503, 13.74007 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.7, "trend_reference": 14.885809, "distance_from_trend": -0.281195, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.987824, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.818481, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.329084, "excess_performance": -0.336484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.281195, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028744, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190499, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.721019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208185, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.368695, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.329084, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.3702, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47566437, "relative_activity": 0.937848, "balance": 0.3702, "dry_up": 1.502192, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125039, "annualized_volatility": 0.676726, "from_high_reference": -0.446875, "from_low_reference": 0.411503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.885809, "fair_value_reference": 8.987824, "structural_low": 9.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.003481, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.015865, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.184255, "worst_return": -0.18797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.053549, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.003692, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.32107, "worst_return": -0.101925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.069414, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.08639, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.282164, "worst_return": -0.192525, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-65.682112, "energy": 59.605237, "activity_lines": [ 12.807333, 13.07303, 14.438413, 15.056028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.19, "volume": 95088932, "typical_volume": 50425288.4, "trend": 15.309695, "fair_value": 8.96724, "relative_strength": -21.270099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.697648, "energy": 78.065643, "activity_lines": [ 11.952, 12.444268, 13.930386, 14.721764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.3, "volume": 91675644, "typical_volume": 51723208.9, "trend": 15.144775, "fair_value": 8.966836, "relative_strength": -28.413326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.903706, "energy": 84.062482, "activity_lines": [ 10.985333, 11.772182, 13.374841, 14.334042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.24, "volume": 70425880, "typical_volume": 51545513.95, "trend": 15.001794, "fair_value": 8.974473, "relative_strength": -20.100352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.179406, "energy": 87.617828, "activity_lines": [ 10.552667, 11.380545, 12.949647, 14.017605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.7, "volume": 47566437, "typical_volume": 50718689.55, "trend": 14.885809, "fair_value": 8.987824, "relative_strength": -20.818481, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.410667, "energy": 86.205316, "activity_lines": [ 10.364, 11.152364, 12.605503, 13.74007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }