{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8838f54-9dd1-4d5f-ae4c-50b92b773eb6", "symbol": "003017", "name": "Zhe Jiang Dayang Biotech Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.192, "architecture_energy": 50.142, "architecture_maturity": 27.654, "architecture_confidence": 87.656, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 16.7, "upward_expansion": 7.72, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 60.99, "downward_expansion": 81.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.918, 21.364301, 22.54285, 23.461371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.610001, "trend_reference": 24.575584, "distance_from_trend": -0.120672, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.282937, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.12068, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.707377, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190233, "excess_performance": -0.197632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120672, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047068, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.12068, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.272423, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.177074, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034105, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190233, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.897947, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7841391, "relative_activity": 0.638377, "balance": 0.897947, "dry_up": 0.724803, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102457, "annualized_volatility": 0.355025, "from_high_reference": -0.301754, "from_low_reference": 0.148247 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.575584, "fair_value_reference": 19.282937, "structural_low": 18.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.012164, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": 0.011396, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.208848, "worst_return": -0.090084, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.007919, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.049994, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.240152, "worst_return": -0.232472, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.011293, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.06313, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.232052, "worst_return": -0.132576, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 21.987271, 22.272911, 23.51947, 24.271712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.610001, "volume": 9996632, "typical_volume": 12950346.35, "trend": 24.795136, "fair_value": 19.255443, "relative_strength": -23.626514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.219888, "energy": 51.79364, "activity_lines": [ 21.194, 21.664129, 23.060653, 23.927077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.639999, "volume": 9140564, "typical_volume": 12637598.55, "trend": 24.673302, "fair_value": 19.265466, "relative_strength": -17.974005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.045422, "energy": 51.530424, "activity_lines": [ 20.861333, 21.385932, 22.741145, 23.659003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.610001, "volume": 7841391, "typical_volume": 12283322.2, "trend": 24.575584, "fair_value": 19.282937, "relative_strength": -17.707377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.191512, "energy": 50.142058, "activity_lines": [ 20.918, 21.364301, 22.54285, 23.461371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }