{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f88a8526-0e7a-463f-9455-be6e2c55e065",
    "symbol": "605500",
    "name": "Forest Packaging Group Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.909,
    "architecture_energy": 45.449,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.472,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.283,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.15,
        "rotation_up": 24.05,
        "upward_expansion": 18.36,
        "deceleration": 66.73,
        "rotation_down": 50.42,
        "downward_expansion": 70.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.85,
    "trend_reference": 8.280758,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.172781,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.620888,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.101155,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.03187,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.235491,
    "excess_performance": -0.192287,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.172781,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089408,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101155,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.314387,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.210319,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13977,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.235491,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.472659,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 25114434,
      "relative_activity": 0.856961,
      "balance": 0.472659,
      "dry_up": 0.920273,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.126205,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.497428,
      "from_high_reference": -0.446543,
      "from_low_reference": 0.161017
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.280758,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.620888,
      "structural_low": 5.9,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
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        "worst_return": -0.13715,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.069444,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.113777,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 28589425.25,
        "trend": 8.443758,
        "fair_value": 7.627412,
        "relative_strength": -28.334022,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 63.813601,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.57,
        "volume": 22087366,
        "typical_volume": 28982731.8,
        "trend": 8.350758,
        "fair_value": 7.623375,
        "relative_strength": -22.819191,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.75526,
        "energy": 56.776126,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.37,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.85,
        "volume": 25114434,
        "typical_volume": 29306392.65,
        "trend": 8.280758,
        "fair_value": 7.620888,
        "relative_strength": -21.03187,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.908559,
        "energy": 45.448813,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}