{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f88dad74-ee64-46af-b451-dba800e11dd7",
    "symbol": "2851",
    "name": "Central Reinsurance Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.912,
    "architecture_energy": 43.463,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.59,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.622,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.76,
        "rotation_up": 41.3,
        "upward_expansion": 65.15,
        "deceleration": 88.29,
        "rotation_down": 26.85,
        "downward_expansion": 17.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.37,
        36.391471,
        35.013047,
        33.321186
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 38.75,
    "trend_reference": 30.976149,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.250962,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.607815,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.641406,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.190762,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.525526,
    "excess_performance": 0.084154,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250962,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143926,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.641406,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251759,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021908,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166068,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.525526,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.951507,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9121754,
      "relative_activity": 0.791662,
      "balance": 1.951507,
      "dry_up": 0.79565,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061895,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.286888,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015248,
      "from_low_reference": 0.78695
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.976149,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.607815,
      "structural_low": 24.930688,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.004554,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005619,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.053743,
        "worst_return": -0.050104,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.005814,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.068488,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.113244,
        "worst_return": -0.029228,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.028788,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06256,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.103647,
        "worst_return": 0.005814,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.10654,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.179421,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.276619,
        "worst_return": -0.121892,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003899,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025478,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12175126.55,
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        "fair_value": 23.286313,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.5,
        "volume": 12589229,
        "typical_volume": 12149111.3,
        "trend": 30.160158,
        "fair_value": 23.386516,
        "relative_strength": -3.860963,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 41.626146,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.450001,
        "volume": 5157923,
        "typical_volume": 11814575.05,
        "trend": 30.518641,
        "fair_value": 23.484603,
        "relative_strength": -3.381206,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.094847,
        "energy": 31.216093,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.39,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 38.75,
        "volume": 9121754,
        "typical_volume": 11522286.65,
        "trend": 30.976149,
        "fair_value": 23.607815,
        "relative_strength": 2.190762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.911796,
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        "activity_lines": [
          36.37,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}