{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f89c49d8-8363-4663-bf34-864faab22a5f",
    "symbol": "PSP5",
    "name": "Amundi PEA S&P 500 UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.645,
    "architecture_energy": 63.567,
    "architecture_maturity": 87.34,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.037,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.19,
        "rotation_up": 52.13,
        "upward_expansion": 81.91,
        "deceleration": 71.33,
        "rotation_down": 28.91,
        "downward_expansion": 10.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        55.453927
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 58.91,
    "trend_reference": 53.9356,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092229,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.95378,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.28194,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.258454,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.15356,
    "excess_performance": 0.100249,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092229,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040723,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28194,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032671,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052585,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041746,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15356,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.442695,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 254366,
      "relative_activity": 1.461495,
      "balance": 2.442695,
      "dry_up": 1.16524,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019626,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115481,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006577,
      "from_low_reference": 0.242355
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.9356,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.95378,
      "structural_low": 48.555,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.015722,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000709,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.078457,
        "worst_return": -0.103131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
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        "worst_return": -0.179825,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.088824,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.058182,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 45.073697,
        "relative_strength": 6.863806,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 65.036075,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 180119.95,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 45.374306,
        "relative_strength": 9.229638,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 74.750053,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 57.360001,
        "volume": 181428,
        "typical_volume": 177187.1,
        "trend": 53.316933,
        "fair_value": 45.518229,
        "relative_strength": 7.709646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.331856,
        "energy": 66.875146,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.502001,
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          55.866919,
          54.646475
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.43,
        "volume": 152647,
        "typical_volume": 172365.3,
        "trend": 53.522867,
        "fair_value": 45.659011,
        "relative_strength": 7.147522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.030118,
        "energy": 63.703787,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.73,
        "volume": 222776,
        "typical_volume": 172226.05,
        "trend": 53.7147,
        "fair_value": 45.798472,
        "relative_strength": 3.99787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.23869,
        "energy": 56.401343,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.271334,
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          56.362195,
          55.118746
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.91,
        "volume": 254366,
        "typical_volume": 174045.05,
        "trend": 53.9356,
        "fair_value": 45.95378,
        "relative_strength": 5.258454,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.644806,
        "energy": 63.567296,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}