{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f8ac0042-ca97-428d-bc72-db56c891689d",
    "symbol": "ITERA",
    "name": "Itera ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -31.556,
    "architecture_energy": 16.222,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.61,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.146,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.62,
        "rotation_up": 26.96,
        "upward_expansion": 17.42,
        "deceleration": 45.51,
        "rotation_down": 24.2,
        "downward_expansion": 53.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.406667,
        6.332364,
        6.392574,
        6.548835
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.44,
    "trend_reference": 6.802098,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.053233,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 9.06434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.289524,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.845854,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.138292,
    "excess_performance": -0.263286,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053233,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069033,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.289524,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04135,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218459,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080343,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138292,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.549055,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66431,
      "relative_activity": 0.682072,
      "balance": 0.549055,
      "dry_up": 0.586447,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075813,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289003,
      "from_high_reference": -0.292722,
      "from_low_reference": 0.110345
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.802098,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.06434,
      "structural_low": 5.8,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.001111,
        "positive_rate": 0.423077,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019766,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.173913,
        "worst_return": -0.144762,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.023944,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027985,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.1345,
        "worst_return": -0.178082,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.112492,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.1942,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.141071,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.218501,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2023-05-12",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 163008.8,
        "trend": 6.970059,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -54.365885,
        "energy": 37.274321,
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          6.428328,
          6.634729
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.52,
        "volume": 96018,
        "typical_volume": 164756.5,
        "trend": 6.922098,
        "fair_value": 9.154914,
        "relative_strength": -21.720568,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.339401,
        "energy": 24.50925,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.296,
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          6.418591,
          6.605693
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.46,
        "volume": 5980,
        "typical_volume": 159005.6,
        "trend": 6.859196,
        "fair_value": 9.109551,
        "relative_strength": -22.053027,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.195633,
        "energy": 20.055272,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.365333,
          6.308364,
          6.40463,
          6.57588
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.44,
        "volume": 66431,
        "typical_volume": 97395.85,
        "trend": 6.802098,
        "fair_value": 9.06434,
        "relative_strength": -21.845854,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.556296,
        "energy": 16.221729,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.406667,
          6.332364,
          6.392574,
          6.548835
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}