{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8b97d2e-d33c-4b2d-a166-ed8d778c4f55", "symbol": "FCL", "name": "Fineotex Chemical Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.019, "architecture_energy": 48.42, "architecture_maturity": 69.66, "architecture_confidence": 65.589, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.09, "rotation_up": 43.2, "upward_expansion": 76.27, "deceleration": 74.15, "rotation_down": 28.08, "downward_expansion": 7.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.937334, 39.813455, 36.978381, 33.593076 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 41.639999, "trend_reference": 29.617667, "distance_from_trend": 0.405918, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.994701, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.343455, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 51.386194, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.826316, "excess_performance": 0.870025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.405918, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204901, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.343455, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.4116, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.513862, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326033, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.826316, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.09087, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50069378, "relative_activity": 0.75794, "balance": 7.09087, "dry_up": 1.018706, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109233, "annualized_volatility": 0.635164, "from_high_reference": -0.06532, "from_low_reference": 1.180105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.617667, "fair_value_reference": 30.994701, "structural_low": 19.1, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.031733, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.007087, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.318045, "worst_return": -0.313009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.015112, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.081748, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.139608, "worst_return": -0.27163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.135442, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.020644, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.846863, "worst_return": -0.063009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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101821506, "typical_volume": 61451496.6, "trend": 28.506667, "fair_value": 30.842958, "relative_strength": 52.234738, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.511302, "energy": 42.663134, "activity_lines": [ 38.870667, 39.445455, 35.278477, 32.075054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.400002, "volume": 56459276, "typical_volume": 63893194.65, "trend": 29.004, "fair_value": 30.907978, "relative_strength": 46.180437, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.976013, "energy": 37.843419, "activity_lines": [ 38.980668, 39.481819, 36.063191, 32.77785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.639999, "volume": 50069378, "typical_volume": 66059853.6, "trend": 29.617667, "fair_value": 30.994701, "relative_strength": 51.386194, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.018561, "energy": 48.420159, "activity_lines": [ 39.937334, 39.813455, 36.978381, 33.593076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }