{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8c80ae4-141d-4b3e-8060-0093f5da4072", "symbol": "4192", "name": "SynCore Biotechnology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.114, "architecture_energy": 53.633, "architecture_maturity": 13.548, "architecture_confidence": 82.795, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.65, "rotation_up": 13.14, "upward_expansion": 9.54, "deceleration": 41.28, "rotation_down": 66.4, "downward_expansion": 85.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.096667, 19.500909, 19.879048, 20.119355 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.75, "trend_reference": 20.703333, "distance_from_trend": -0.094349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.012081, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.432026, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.120298, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.147727, "excess_performance": -0.589099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083923, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.432026, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00884, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.441203, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014309, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.684795, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55000, "relative_activity": 1.11779, "balance": 1.684795, "dry_up": 0.759162, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070564, "annualized_volatility": 0.24078, "from_high_reference": -0.367622, "from_low_reference": 0.038781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.703333, "fair_value_reference": 33.012081, "structural_low": 18.049999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 49, "median_return": -0.028329, "positive_rate": 0.306122, "directional_follow_through": 0.693878, "median_excess_return": -0.029793, "regime_survival": 0.918367, "best_return": 0.416894, "worst_return": -0.28556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.090146, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.179412, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.434426, "worst_return": -0.34828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.166274, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.222018, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.165333, "worst_return": -0.481386, "sufficient": true 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"trend": 21.085, "fair_value": 33.373976, "relative_strength": -40.565637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.685982, "energy": 47.877819, "activity_lines": [ 19.52, 19.917273, 20.104286, 20.379355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.200001, "volume": 57643, "typical_volume": 49618.35, "trend": 20.895, "fair_value": 33.192262, "relative_strength": -41.869977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.403606, "energy": 54.932619, "activity_lines": [ 19.340001, 19.742728, 20.01, 20.257742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.75, "volume": 55000, "typical_volume": 49204.25, "trend": 20.703333, "fair_value": 33.012081, "relative_strength": -44.120298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.114358, "energy": 53.632823, "activity_lines": [ 19.096667, 19.500909, 19.879048, 20.119355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }