{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f8d6afd1-7797-4857-b8ba-d05dd912c886",
    "symbol": "WHCA",
    "name": "iShares MSCI World Health Care Sector Advanced UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 50.766,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.298,
    "architecture_energy": 49.124,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.355,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.854,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.51,
        "rotation_up": 63.27,
        "upward_expansion": 82.28,
        "deceleration": 59.4,
        "rotation_down": 17.86,
        "downward_expansion": 6.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        4.295009,
        4.18885,
        4.150004
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.351,
    "trend_reference": 4.133575,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0526,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.168316,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.043827,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.08204,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.036076,
    "excess_performance": -0.01516,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0526,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005803,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043827,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137999,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02082,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068562,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036076,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.578356,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 87246,
      "relative_activity": 0.654406,
      "balance": 1.578356,
      "dry_up": 1.183552,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032159,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.165909,
      "from_high_reference": -0.184717,
      "from_low_reference": 0.234677
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.133575,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.168316,
      "structural_low": 3.8185,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.017051,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011256,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.043046,
        "worst_return": -0.20814,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.065528,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057487,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.204252,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "direction": 43.6714,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 0.208558,
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        "direction": 32.083777,
        "energy": 63.720644,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 131425.45,
        "trend": 4.12185,
        "fair_value": 4.181067,
        "relative_strength": -0.338219,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.304227,
        "energy": 68.038038,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.111965
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 117728,
        "typical_volume": 133429.65,
        "trend": 4.127475,
        "fair_value": 4.176837,
        "relative_strength": -0.858789,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.34251,
        "energy": 66.374774,
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          4.125878
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.282,
        "volume": 178492,
        "typical_volume": 133512.25,
        "trend": 4.131575,
        "fair_value": 4.172731,
        "relative_strength": -3.295912,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.270882,
        "energy": 48.437199,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.3079,
          4.271627,
          4.163915,
          4.135847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.351,
        "volume": 87246,
        "typical_volume": 133320.95,
        "trend": 4.133575,
        "fair_value": 4.168316,
        "relative_strength": -2.08204,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.297862,
        "energy": 49.124115,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.319667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}