{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8da5bad-4ffe-4de9-b620-8427f3b1293a", "symbol": "688316", "name": "QingCloud Technologies Corp.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.561, "architecture_energy": 58.029, "architecture_maturity": 26.992, "architecture_confidence": 83.715, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.75, "rotation_up": 17.29, "upward_expansion": 9.73, "deceleration": 47.25, "rotation_down": 66.61, "downward_expansion": 85.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.620667, 50.387819, 56.928477, 61.672087 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 54.290001, "trend_reference": 66.810334, "distance_from_trend": -0.187401, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 53.052885, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023319, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.860029, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.283489, "excess_performance": -0.240286, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.187401, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042882, "read": "Falling" 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39.509998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.038131, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.007251, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.335462, "worst_return": -0.204787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.284034, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.183499, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.522255, "worst_return": -0.294241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.570366, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.492637, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 2.894659, "worst_return": -0.093782, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 53.064616, "relative_strength": -21.827503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.582037, "energy": 72.401355, "activity_lines": [ 54.524001, 58.07491, 64.018049, 67.002603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.59, "volume": 11723523, "typical_volume": 17642591.7, "trend": 67.981667, "fair_value": 53.03218, "relative_strength": -31.598813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.023017, "energy": 83.821854, "activity_lines": [ 51.001334, 54.853455, 61.759572, 65.460323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.799999, "volume": 11681450, "typical_volume": 16965107.35, "trend": 67.519667, "fair_value": 52.997693, "relative_strength": -33.022816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.189974, "energy": 83.154041, "activity_lines": [ 47.945333, 52.085091, 59.609334, 63.900216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.700001, "volume": 9403055, "typical_volume": 15011941.95, "trend": 67.006334, "fair_value": 52.987308, "relative_strength": -29.628754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.365103, "energy": 77.823158, "activity_lines": [ 46.638667, 50.202182, 57.786715, 62.492495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.290001, "volume": 27213516, "typical_volume": 14754224.5, "trend": 66.810334, "fair_value": 53.052885, "relative_strength": -17.860029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.560666, "energy": 58.028813, "activity_lines": [ 48.620667, 50.387819, 56.928477, 61.672087 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }