{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f8de40e3-ea9d-4773-9bc5-c1737b3be29d",
    "symbol": "LWCE",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI Europe Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.065,
    "architecture_energy": 63.878,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.477,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.89,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.25,
        "rotation_up": 54.91,
        "upward_expansion": 81.74,
        "deceleration": 61.82,
        "rotation_down": 26.67,
        "downward_expansion": 10.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        98.324,
        97.953273,
        96.320429,
        94.85914
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 99.790001,
    "trend_reference": 93.433667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06803,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 81.575886,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223278,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.06437,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.080212,
    "excess_performance": 0.026901,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06803,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035563,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.223278,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060286,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030644,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01119,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080212,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.175161,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6373,
      "relative_activity": 0.914918,
      "balance": 4.175161,
      "dry_up": 0.370389,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017629,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.16047,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005481,
      "from_low_reference": 0.208111
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 81.575886,
      "structural_low": 83.18,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.00357,
        "positive_rate": 0.515152,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.515152,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002755,
        "regime_survival": 0.787879,
        "best_return": 0.059641,
        "worst_return": -0.09652,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.066192,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.16427,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.117153,
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        "trend": 89.402606,
        "fair_value": 79.170373,
        "relative_strength": 3.664022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.767611,
        "energy": 36.166961,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.940667,
          90.479818,
          90.754762,
          90.267687
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 92.239998,
        "volume": 9945,
        "typical_volume": 5748.55,
        "trend": 89.59894,
        "fair_value": 79.31268,
        "relative_strength": 4.183365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.504065,
        "energy": 34.835692,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.166,
          90.850181,
          90.898952,
          90.450745
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 91.260002,
        "volume": 3504,
        "typical_volume": 5658.75,
        "trend": 89.73894,
        "fair_value": 79.443962,
        "relative_strength": 5.007586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.241529,
        "energy": 36.577413,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.838667,
          91.098,
          90.932,
          90.55791
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 94.709999,
        "volume": 3937,
        "typical_volume": 5273.7,
        "trend": 89.958,
        "fair_value": 79.603642,
        "relative_strength": 6.63206,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.933103,
        "energy": 40.780302,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.689334,
          91.942727,
          91.281428,
          90.878623
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 95.0,
        "volume": 59185,
        "typical_volume": 8145.35,
        "trend": 90.225,
        "fair_value": 79.76486,
        "relative_strength": 5.943513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.24282,
        "energy": 47.350105,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.586,
          92.733818,
          91.633666,
          91.203914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 94.550003,
        "volume": 4129,
        "typical_volume": 8231.0,
        "trend": 90.521333,
        "fair_value": 79.926334,
        "relative_strength": 4.884605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.921313,
        "energy": 57.003514,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.109334,
          93.264546,
          91.928619,
          91.482946
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 96.029999,
        "volume": 3042,
        "typical_volume": 7737.05,
        "trend": 90.824666,
        "fair_value": 80.090501,
        "relative_strength": 4.725332,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.937835,
        "energy": 71.678712,
        "activity_lines": [
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          91.838344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 96.82,
        "volume": 166,
        "typical_volume": 7583.9,
        "trend": 91.222666,
        "fair_value": 80.274411,
        "relative_strength": 4.585131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.347412,
        "energy": 77.494174,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.772,
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          92.832,
          92.22514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 97.25,
        "volume": 25,
        "typical_volume": 7370.65,
        "trend": 91.559333,
        "fair_value": 80.451527,
        "relative_strength": 5.345202,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.274829,
        "energy": 82.040936,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.381334,
          95.169273,
          93.325333,
          92.614
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 99.410004,
        "volume": 825,
        "typical_volume": 7202.95,
        "trend": 91.962667,
        "fair_value": 80.658706,
        "relative_strength": 5.961561,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.033624,
        "energy": 91.598225,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.541335,
          96.131092,
          94.001191,
          93.120495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 97.580002,
        "volume": 7875,
        "typical_volume": 7578.15,
        "trend": 92.312333,
        "fair_value": 80.839668,
        "relative_strength": 5.932863,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.767354,
        "energy": 83.341882,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.797335,
          96.619092,
          94.471143,
          93.482904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 97.129997,
        "volume": 2464,
        "typical_volume": 7620.9,
        "trend": 92.6,
        "fair_value": 81.015373,
        "relative_strength": 5.272571,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.098959,
        "energy": 79.756116,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.701334,
          96.918182,
          94.879334,
          93.793721
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 97.489998,
        "volume": 621,
        "typical_volume": 7360.3,
        "trend": 92.893,
        "fair_value": 81.188898,
        "relative_strength": 5.075091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.225479,
        "energy": 69.2342,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.651999,
          97.193818,
          95.313095,
          94.109204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 97.900002,
        "volume": 862,
        "typical_volume": 7161.5,
        "trend": 93.173,
        "fair_value": 81.376847,
        "relative_strength": 3.677272,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.748462,
        "energy": 54.51536,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.694667,
          97.430728,
          95.748286,
          94.432237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 99.790001,
        "volume": 6373,
        "typical_volume": 6965.65,
        "trend": 93.433667,
        "fair_value": 81.575886,
        "relative_strength": 3.06437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.065017,
        "energy": 63.877711,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.324,
          97.953273,
          96.320429,
          94.85914
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}