{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8e5dc50-4aa6-4ab9-9e38-40dff280b832", "symbol": "TDC", "name": "Teradata Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 88.798, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.826, "architecture_energy": 24.433, "architecture_maturity": 21.237, "architecture_confidence": 67.695, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.41, "rotation_up": 20.09, "upward_expansion": 19.09, "deceleration": 64.54, "rotation_down": 58.64, "downward_expansion": 39.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.416667, 30.792545, 31.173429, 30.525849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 27.39, "trend_reference": 29.946333, "distance_from_trend": -0.085364, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.405256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127853, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.961505, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.002912, "excess_performance": -0.128537, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.085364, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024495, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127853, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084901, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119615, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235764, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002912, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.727483, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25014361, "relative_activity": 1.910454, "balance": 0.727483, "dry_up": 1.312776, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144297, "annualized_volatility": 0.548966, "from_high_reference": -0.344422, "from_low_reference": 0.372244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.946333, "fair_value_reference": 31.405256, "structural_low": 23.86, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.001187, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.042352, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.271622, "worst_return": -0.237122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.015655, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.072479, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.372604, "worst_return": -0.323631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.263277, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.23837, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.45727, "worst_return": -0.324265, 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"trend": 30.120333, "fair_value": 31.848077, "relative_strength": 2.802122, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.027255, "energy": 23.979449, "activity_lines": [ 32.521333, 32.785636, 31.500286, 30.742688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.52, "volume": 14002387, "typical_volume": 12075435.3, "trend": 30.048667, "fair_value": 31.676154, "relative_strength": -3.534403, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.890146, "energy": 10.898193, "activity_lines": [ 31.191333, 31.961091, 31.357381, 30.639441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.99, "volume": 15693971, "typical_volume": 12379960.2, "trend": 30.092, "fair_value": 31.517756, "relative_strength": 3.247768, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.191164, "energy": 18.140842, "activity_lines": [ 30.842, 31.681818, 31.447333, 30.700172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.39, "volume": 25014361, "typical_volume": 13093413.45, "trend": 29.946333, "fair_value": 31.405256, "relative_strength": -11.961505, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.825748, "energy": 24.433081, "activity_lines": [ 29.416667, 30.792545, 31.173429, 30.525849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }