{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8e64941-3562-4cf4-bfd7-2ab0189f75e5", "symbol": "WLFD", "name": "Willy-Food Investments Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.512, "architecture_energy": 62.026, "architecture_maturity": 82.544, "architecture_confidence": 64.789, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.12, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.05, "rotation_down": 46.17, "downward_expansion": 67.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.81, 58.793636, 1420.364048, 2632.936022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 60.27, "trend_reference": 4025.546, "distance_from_trend": -0.985028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2927.265256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.979411, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.683704, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.990628, "excess_performance": -1.019528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.985028, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.290745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.979411, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.154624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.986837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.079631, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.990628, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.328973, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65492, "relative_activity": 3.555271, "balance": 0.328973, "dry_up": 1.107005, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.913619, "annualized_volatility": 6.392993, "from_high_reference": -0.991239, "from_low_reference": 0.150191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4025.546, "fair_value_reference": 2927.265256, "structural_low": 52.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.013415, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.004349, "regime_survival": 0.892857, "best_return": 0.146253, "worst_return": -0.167115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.056566, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.040271, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.14482, "worst_return": -0.169165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.106659, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.079543, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.497424, "worst_return": -0.294433, "sufficient": true 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"direction": -67.166941, "energy": 72.897311, "activity_lines": [ 56.334667, 401.074545, 2402.990952, 3472.346452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.14, "volume": 5654, "typical_volume": 15633.25, "trend": 4398.288, "fair_value": 2956.747692, "relative_strength": -98.749753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.666309, "energy": 67.290324, "activity_lines": [ 58.043333, 173.763636, 2044.497143, 3181.061935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.47, "volume": 5016, "typical_volume": 15694.65, "trend": 4218.403667, "fair_value": 2941.673782, "relative_strength": -98.703042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.159183, "energy": 63.252405, "activity_lines": [ 59.142667, 58.655636, 1717.053143, 2901.20271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.27, "volume": 65492, "typical_volume": 18421.1, "trend": 4025.546, "fair_value": 2927.265256, "relative_strength": -98.683704, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.511768, "energy": 62.026489, "activity_lines": [ 59.81, 58.793636, 1420.364048, 2632.936022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }