{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f8ebe6ac-cab2-4a25-8911-072d59194e7c",
    "symbol": "L100",
    "name": "Amundi FTSE 100 Swap UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.772,
    "architecture_energy": 88.857,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.145,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.448,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.9,
        "rotation_up": 83.81,
        "upward_expansion": 99.02,
        "deceleration": 39.16,
        "rotation_down": 9.5,
        "downward_expansion": 21.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.075333,
        22.789091,
        22.394286,
        22.159204
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 23.285,
    "trend_reference": 21.878,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064311,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 17.912788,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299909,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.212033,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.087576,
    "excess_performance": 0.034265,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064311,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040228,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.299909,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054756,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04212,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023273,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087576,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.071139,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23360,
      "relative_activity": 0.697667,
      "balance": 2.071139,
      "dry_up": 0.910679,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018797,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.137786,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003211,
      "from_low_reference": 0.250403
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.878,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.912788,
      "structural_low": 20.17,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 46,
        "median_return": 0.011919,
        "positive_rate": 0.586957,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586957,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007545,
        "regime_survival": 0.826087,
        "best_return": 0.075113,
        "worst_return": -0.080013,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.042233,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015651,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.076971,
        "worst_return": -0.065476,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.082751,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055232,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.031142,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.1128,
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        "worst_return": 0.060978,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2023-12-08",
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        "return": 0.003003,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 8.294739,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 52091.85,
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        "fair_value": 17.641756,
        "relative_strength": 5.564916,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 52057.75,
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        "fair_value": 17.69441,
        "relative_strength": 6.2495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.173395,
        "energy": 69.364224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.709999,
        "volume": 17305,
        "typical_volume": 39122.1,
        "trend": 21.617167,
        "fair_value": 17.746718,
        "relative_strength": 6.982728,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.609619,
        "energy": 76.900751,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.526667,
          22.299364,
          22.032286,
          21.878484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.965,
        "volume": 57595,
        "typical_volume": 38218.2,
        "trend": 21.707667,
        "fair_value": 17.799378,
        "relative_strength": 7.437179,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.913158,
        "energy": 82.653818,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.720667,
          22.455636,
          22.141929,
          21.965441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.225,
        "volume": 23709,
        "typical_volume": 34027.45,
        "trend": 21.799,
        "fair_value": 17.855923,
        "relative_strength": 6.668709,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.366736,
        "energy": 85.853892,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.922,
          22.627455,
          22.269595,
          22.063333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.285,
        "volume": 23360,
        "typical_volume": 33483.0,
        "trend": 21.878,
        "fair_value": 17.912788,
        "relative_strength": 4.212033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.771586,
        "energy": 88.857476,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.075333,
          22.789091,
          22.394286,
          22.159204
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}