{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f8f479c5-4435-45e4-bb64-b5fd1b0fb8cd", "symbol": "688618", "name": "3onedata Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.423, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.029, "architecture_energy": 53.057, "architecture_maturity": 11.753, "architecture_confidence": 81.265, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.19, "rotation_up": 13.17, "upward_expansion": 9.77, "deceleration": 42.16, "rotation_down": 63.32, "downward_expansion": 83.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.268, 28.413259, 31.589397, 32.484404 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.09, "trend_reference": 33.128915, "distance_from_trend": -0.121915, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.634481, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.108612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.152625, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.092072, "excess_performance": -0.048869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121915, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029476, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.108612, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210364, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031526, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29919, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.092072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.912985, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13817775, "relative_activity": 0.917371, "balance": 0.912985, "dry_up": 1.025532, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.190989, "annualized_volatility": 0.735634, "from_high_reference": -0.396449, "from_low_reference": 0.37217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.128915, "fair_value_reference": 32.634481, "structural_low": 21.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.056524, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.049947, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.366434, "worst_return": -0.278342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019359, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051792, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.334144, "worst_return": -0.484405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.010291, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057167, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.339221, "worst_return": -0.568059, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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14467093.7, "trend": 33.103915, "fair_value": 33.033084, "relative_strength": -3.648805, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.15029, "energy": 54.19425, "activity_lines": [ 27.493416, 29.679034, 32.775135, 33.203877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.91, "volume": 14152602, "typical_volume": 14682637.5, "trend": 33.047915, "fair_value": 32.811883, "relative_strength": -11.295837, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.944447, "energy": 66.664839, "activity_lines": [ 26.702, 28.637096, 32.014957, 32.739753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.09, "volume": 13817775, "typical_volume": 15062363.1, "trend": 33.128915, "fair_value": 32.634481, "relative_strength": -3.152625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.029289, "energy": 53.056993, "activity_lines": [ 27.268, 28.413259, 31.589397, 32.484404 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }