{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f90884a0-aa22-4869-9100-b03f74e01fc9",
    "symbol": "ITUB",
    "name": "Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.68,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -24.659,
    "architecture_energy": 12.949,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.347,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.722,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.39,
        "rotation_up": 25.52,
        "upward_expansion": 31.04,
        "deceleration": 42.43,
        "rotation_down": 30.69,
        "downward_expansion": 41.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.224414,
        8.195233,
        8.150251,
        8.198496
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.94,
    "trend_reference": 8.251547,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.037756,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.652446,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.404702,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.1733,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.099601,
    "excess_performance": -0.225225,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037756,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049619,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.404702,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154316,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061733,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117746,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099601,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.85131,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 101520642,
      "relative_activity": 0.957444,
      "balance": 0.85131,
      "dry_up": 0.878037,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058628,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.342343,
      "from_high_reference": -0.162106,
      "from_low_reference": 0.348858
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.251547,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.652446,
      "structural_low": 7.320524,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.011603,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005393,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.194245,
        "worst_return": -0.072526,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.097379,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004271,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.253355,
        "worst_return": -0.107822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.140666,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018021,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.235154,
        "worst_return": -0.078371,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.230191,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.29937,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.488137,
        "worst_return": 0.228946,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.156841,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.036616,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.09472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.192347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.114138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.035394,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.03939,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021773,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 113462289.6,
        "trend": 8.185348,
        "fair_value": 5.597586,
        "relative_strength": 2.858296,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 17.589674,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.456584,
        "volume": 75169207,
        "typical_volume": 109766274.0,
        "trend": 8.231031,
        "fair_value": 5.626449,
        "relative_strength": 3.54718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.968243,
        "energy": 22.585485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.94,
        "volume": 101520642,
        "typical_volume": 106033013.3,
        "trend": 8.251547,
        "fair_value": 5.652446,
        "relative_strength": -6.1733,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.659445,
        "energy": 12.94871,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}