{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f90aa0f5-c6bc-4e4c-ba11-881a3c75ed56",
    "symbol": "AALL34",
    "name": "American Airlines Group Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.544,
    "architecture_energy": 28.112,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.789,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.104,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.19,
        "rotation_up": 27.16,
        "upward_expansion": 59.13,
        "deceleration": 88.3,
        "rotation_down": 31.8,
        "downward_expansion": 20.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        78.392666,
        80.732909,
        76.498143,
        72.787291
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 81.639999,
    "trend_reference": 70.387667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.159862,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 70.697885,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154773,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.319092,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.022161,
    "excess_performance": 0.079209,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159862,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006847,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154773,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234685,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093191,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284453,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022161,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.259726,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7223,
      "relative_activity": 0.59819,
      "balance": 3.259726,
      "dry_up": 0.400733,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.097143,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.542375,
      "from_high_reference": -0.142347,
      "from_low_reference": 0.546798
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.387667,
      "fair_value_reference": 70.697885,
      "structural_low": 52.779999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.144389,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.186524,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.035817,
        "worst_return": -0.321585,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.184174,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.190504,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.085222,
        "worst_return": -0.257795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.115084,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.16563,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.022161,
        "worst_return": -0.220466,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.205973,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.295848,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.05306,
        "worst_return": -0.254381,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.174682,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.077844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.270477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.148594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.162503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.182159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.164893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081459,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.252151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076413,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.077093,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 14288.85,
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      },
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        "volume": 2906,
        "typical_volume": 19213.25,
        "trend": 69.897,
        "fair_value": 70.840064,
        "relative_strength": -29.233311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.287302,
        "energy": 31.138313,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.461333,
          58.223273,
          63.037857,
          66.896258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 65.160004,
        "volume": 46669,
        "typical_volume": 21136.8,
        "trend": 69.946667,
        "fair_value": 70.819295,
        "relative_strength": -19.12619,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.539219,
        "energy": 24.52277,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.555335,
          59.459274,
          62.685715,
          66.590646
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 62.529999,
        "volume": 12415,
        "typical_volume": 21666.45,
        "trend": 69.895334,
        "fair_value": 70.743397,
        "relative_strength": -18.929401,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.579817,
        "energy": 21.16801,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.148667,
          60.245092,
          62.188572,
          66.112151
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 69.870003,
        "volume": 44864,
        "typical_volume": 23837.1,
        "trend": 69.762667,
        "fair_value": 70.734423,
        "relative_strength": -8.613226,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.282579,
        "energy": 16.113561,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.783335,
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          62.500096,
          66.110517
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 24755,
        "typical_volume": 24951.9,
        "trend": 69.909,
        "fair_value": 70.739359,
        "relative_strength": -0.334345,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 16.440114,
        "energy": 28.307111,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.711334,
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          66.448409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 69.18,
        "volume": 758,
        "typical_volume": 24471.25,
        "trend": 69.798667,
        "fair_value": 70.694231,
        "relative_strength": -5.183861,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -0.523197,
        "energy": 23.847704,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.715334,
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          63.737334,
          66.401377
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 75.25,
        "volume": 1304,
        "typical_volume": 23912.4,
        "trend": 70.051,
        "fair_value": 70.663974,
        "relative_strength": 1.766494,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.923797,
        "energy": 45.174738,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.016,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 82.970001,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 22905.05,
        "trend": 70.476,
        "fair_value": 70.704679,
        "relative_strength": 13.584174,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.647533,
        "energy": 67.685984,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 91.620003,
        "volume": 242,
        "typical_volume": 15970.35,
        "trend": 71.043667,
        "fair_value": 70.743205,
        "relative_strength": 21.575142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 63.031347,
        "energy": 78.972435,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.939335,
          75.835274,
          69.008572,
          68.950689
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 91.129997,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 14902.2,
        "trend": 71.378667,
        "fair_value": 70.750449,
        "relative_strength": 19.884513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.564351,
        "energy": 83.305402,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.048,
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          71.413667,
          70.246581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 86.400002,
        "volume": 2170,
        "typical_volume": 14826.4,
        "trend": 71.542001,
        "fair_value": 70.748526,
        "relative_strength": 11.410799,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.235138,
        "energy": 76.407067,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.504667,
          81.730001,
          73.278715,
          71.2157
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 76.629997,
        "volume": 4339,
        "typical_volume": 14483.4,
        "trend": 71.186001,
        "fair_value": 70.705641,
        "relative_strength": 1.542425,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.863774,
        "energy": 74.094568,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.556666,
          81.678909,
          74.135238,
          71.543957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.25,
        "volume": 5155,
        "typical_volume": 13310.65,
        "trend": 70.742667,
        "fair_value": 70.661667,
        "relative_strength": -4.169659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.959261,
        "energy": 37.941378,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.056666,
          80.622909,
          74.527334,
          71.612602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.82,
        "volume": 2638,
        "typical_volume": 12109.7,
        "trend": 70.509667,
        "fair_value": 70.665641,
        "relative_strength": 1.030976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.394768,
        "energy": 24.671183,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.127999,
          80.402909,
          75.385286,
          72.069205
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.639999,
        "volume": 7223,
        "typical_volume": 12074.75,
        "trend": 70.387667,
        "fair_value": 70.697885,
        "relative_strength": 9.319092,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.544352,
        "energy": 28.111861,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.392666,
          80.732909,
          76.498143,
          72.787291
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}