{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f92006da-d444-4afd-a344-9f2ea4185cb2", "symbol": "A52", "name": "AnnAik Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.26, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.835, "architecture_energy": 52.785, "architecture_maturity": 25.399, "architecture_confidence": 92.657, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.52, "rotation_up": 22.21, "upward_expansion": 8.25, "deceleration": 52.21, "rotation_down": 62.37, "downward_expansion": 86.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0632, 0.0638, 0.06632, 0.068321 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.063, "trend_reference": 0.06998, "distance_from_trend": -0.099743, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.06193, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.01727, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.616499, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.088542, "excess_performance": -0.243377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099743, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006869, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.01727, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184454, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216165, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.267785, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.088542, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.095413, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053724, "annualized_volatility": 0.25258, "from_high_reference": -0.179687, "from_low_reference": 0.188679 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.06998, "fair_value_reference": 0.06193, "structural_low": 0.053, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.025017, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.19047, "worst_return": -0.125007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.034057, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.001428, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.157895, "worst_return": -0.140625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.005786, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.076732, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.07501, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.035527, 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"typical_volume": 67595.0, "trend": 0.07056, "fair_value": 0.062164, "relative_strength": -18.592908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.005758, "energy": 65.729496, "activity_lines": [ 0.064333, 0.065382, 0.068324, 0.069747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.063, "volume": 26000, "typical_volume": 68895.0, "trend": 0.070452, "fair_value": 0.062127, "relative_strength": -20.635907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.385374, "energy": 62.7882, "activity_lines": [ 0.063867, 0.064673, 0.06759, 0.06926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 68835.0, "trend": 0.070088, "fair_value": 0.06202, "relative_strength": -20.891078, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.005897, "energy": 58.971779, "activity_lines": [ 0.0634, 0.064182, 0.066922, 0.068779 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 68125.0, "trend": 0.06998, "fair_value": 0.06193, "relative_strength": -21.616499, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.834557, "energy": 52.784674, "activity_lines": [ 0.0632, 0.0638, 0.06632, 0.068321 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }