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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.677, "architecture_energy": 41.904, "architecture_maturity": 34.818, "architecture_confidence": 65.368, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.07, "rotation_up": 49.04, "upward_expansion": 76.61, "deceleration": 68.39, "rotation_down": 22.73, "downward_expansion": 5.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.352665, 91.773454, 89.854454, 87.952256 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 92.269997, "trend_reference": 85.448545, "distance_from_trend": 0.079831, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.101139, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.139765, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126437, "excess_performance": 0.061797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079831, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075551, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151919, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040138, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071398, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077445, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126437, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.693215, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5798, "relative_activity": 1.489282, "balance": 0.693215, "dry_up": 1.654316, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046338, "annualized_volatility": 0.252912, "from_high_reference": -0.049351, "from_low_reference": 0.391712 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.448545, "fair_value_reference": 80.101139, "structural_low": 74.314901, 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[ 91.395333, 89.574512, 87.568593, 85.723703 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 93.809998, "volume": 4472, "typical_volume": 3727.0, "trend": 83.445802, "fair_value": 79.967253, "relative_strength": 16.384186, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.243425, "energy": 76.259683, "activity_lines": [ 92.485999, 90.460545, 88.335992, 86.433761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 92.059998, "volume": 6199, "typical_volume": 3555.35, "trend": 84.175077, "fair_value": 80.015439, "relative_strength": 12.663499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.947207, "energy": 65.304373, "activity_lines": [ 92.644665, 90.932727, 88.882012, 86.989515 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.69, "volume": 9293, "typical_volume": 3786.4, "trend": 84.862445, "fair_value": 80.054767, "relative_strength": 9.567633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.473406, "energy": 49.695089, "activity_lines": [ 92.402666, 91.325272, 89.352753, 87.474349 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.269997, "volume": 5798, "typical_volume": 3893.15, "trend": 85.448545, "fair_value": 80.101139, "relative_strength": 7.139765, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.676607, "energy": 41.904403, "activity_lines": [ 92.352665, 91.773454, 89.854454, 87.952256 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }