{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f92448ca-fab0-4ecd-b14d-24ebf468ac92", "symbol": "HUNT", "name": "Hunter Group ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.81, "architecture_energy": 60.075, "architecture_maturity": 44.255, "architecture_confidence": 92.003, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.7, "rotation_up": 64.64, "upward_expansion": 85.8, "deceleration": 56.07, "rotation_down": 20.58, "downward_expansion": 10.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.546667, 8.253171, 7.490506, 6.796757 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.6, "trend_reference": 5.658724, "distance_from_trend": 0.519777, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.043765, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.20792, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 116.225148, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.862112, "excess_performance": 2.737118, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.519777, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.619445, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.20792, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.700552, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.162251, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.282902, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.862112, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.993159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7620724, "relative_activity": 0.592709, "balance": 1.993159, "dry_up": 0.649318, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109556, "annualized_volatility": 0.924647, "from_high_reference": -0.068256, "from_low_reference": 15.784451 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.658724, "fair_value_reference": 2.043765, "structural_low": 2.155337, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.006445, "positive_rate": 0.566667, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.016124, "regime_survival": 0.766667, "best_return": 0.941732, "worst_return": -0.499666, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.088497, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.052647, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 1.999531, "worst_return": -0.537975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.09009, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.171509, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 3.928496, "worst_return": -0.549721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 8.57, "volume": 7134082, "typical_volume": 15382983.95, "trend": 5.185085, "fair_value": 1.947259, "relative_strength": 135.587101, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.716839, "energy": 63.232778, "activity_lines": [ 8.155006, 7.844383, 7.091776, 6.357277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.83, "volume": 7904061, "typical_volume": 14325803.85, "trend": 5.432978, "fair_value": 1.996531, "relative_strength": 131.558923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.654536, "energy": 63.835995, "activity_lines": [ 8.424667, 8.097407, 7.313578, 6.592433 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.6, "volume": 7620724, "typical_volume": 12857455.55, "trend": 5.658724, "fair_value": 2.043765, "relative_strength": 116.225148, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.810398, "energy": 60.074728, "activity_lines": [ 8.546667, 8.253171, 7.490506, 6.796757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }