{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9318e5c-5cf4-46ce-a33c-da3736b97171", "symbol": "LUV", "name": "Southwest Airlines Co.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.025, "architecture_energy": 39.066, "architecture_maturity": 38.974, "architecture_confidence": 70.11, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.6, "rotation_up": 35.4, "upward_expansion": 63.6, "deceleration": 69.41, "rotation_down": 26.32, "downward_expansion": 18.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 818.933333, 823.216122, 785.654141, 774.023424 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 817.0, "trend_reference": 772.742715, "distance_from_trend": 0.057273, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 606.854558, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346286, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.531993, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.124122, "excess_performance": -0.069455, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057273, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.346286, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146193, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.12532, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173641, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.124122, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 26.842254, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8665, "relative_activity": 9.70814, "balance": 26.842254, "dry_up": 2.460086, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042298, "annualized_volatility": 0.528608, "from_high_reference": -0.128261, "from_low_reference": 0.486159 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 772.742715, "fair_value_reference": 606.854558, "structural_low": 659.832703, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.021281, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016053, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.110196, "worst_return": -0.068139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.028986, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.026686, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.088227, "worst_return": -0.20739, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.042086, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026536, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.226, "worst_return": -0.141828, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 13, "typical_volume": 459.3, "trend": 771.078309, "fair_value": 605.272035, "relative_strength": 9.458766, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.868045, "energy": 42.241856, "activity_lines": [ 827.244666, 820.15054, 779.450085, 771.060735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 817.0, "volume": 8665, "typical_volume": 892.55, "trend": 772.742715, "fair_value": 606.854558, "relative_strength": 12.531993, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.025468, "energy": 39.066276, "activity_lines": [ 818.933333, 823.216122, 785.654141, 774.023424 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }