{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f9354ac3-87e7-430d-a63c-4132b1967e0f",
    "symbol": "MODD",
    "name": "Modular Medical Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -74.3,
    "architecture_energy": 82.691,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.33,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.77,
        "rotation_up": 9.89,
        "upward_expansion": 18.84,
        "deceleration": 37.42,
        "rotation_down": 81.72,
        "downward_expansion": 96.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.536,
        3.286907,
        3.841885,
        4.634709
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.2,
    "trend_reference": 6.43313,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.65802,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 32.221121,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.931722,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -82.837578,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.832151,
    "excess_performance": -1.019604,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.65802,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.320353,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.931722,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041647,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.828376,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024414,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.832151,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.095139,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 934041,
      "relative_activity": 1.064854,
      "balance": 0.095139,
      "dry_up": 1.063644,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.537696,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.303997,
      "from_high_reference": -0.926667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.145833
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.43313,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.221121,
      "structural_low": 1.92,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": -0.051096,
        "positive_rate": 0.405405,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06401,
        "regime_survival": 0.918919,
        "best_return": 0.41543,
        "worst_return": -0.627794,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
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        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.460526,
        "worst_return": -0.652882,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.41896,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.522889,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.820727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.88282,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2022-10-14",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005747,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -73.035172,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 40.712622,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1156708,
        "typical_volume": 2473331.35,
        "trend": 7.466163,
        "fair_value": 32.722147,
        "relative_strength": -78.317226,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.445375,
        "energy": 52.194935,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.979333,
          4.316175,
          4.472422,
          5.561638
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.51,
        "volume": 1144636,
        "typical_volume": 1362856.35,
        "trend": 7.15323,
        "fair_value": 32.555544,
        "relative_strength": -80.800155,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.957768,
        "energy": 68.348443,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.372,
          3.976904,
          4.258018,
          5.241885
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.39,
        "volume": 496532,
        "typical_volume": 1042568.5,
        "trend": 6.847997,
        "fair_value": 32.399326,
        "relative_strength": -81.1463,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.409323,
        "energy": 79.815489,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.900667,
          3.631451,
          4.048661,
          4.93458
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.2,
        "volume": 934041,
        "typical_volume": 877153.75,
        "trend": 6.43313,
        "fair_value": 32.221121,
        "relative_strength": -82.837578,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.299923,
        "energy": 82.690565,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.536,
          3.286907,
          3.841885,
          4.634709
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}