{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f942cc8e-b3b6-4792-992b-7ef599239785", "symbol": "WCLD", "name": "WisdomTree Cloud Computing UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.069, "architecture_energy": 84.436, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.29, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.23, "rotation_up": 80.07, "upward_expansion": 93.98, "deceleration": 42.36, "rotation_down": 10.48, "downward_expansion": 18.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.034334, 33.581455, 31.732608, 30.577248 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.165001, "trend_reference": 29.612333, "distance_from_trend": 0.288821, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.594138, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.170916, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.705395, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.412734, "excess_performance": 0.361498, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.288821, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.170916, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286224, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.107054, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.277924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.412734, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.32393, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 373668, "relative_activity": 1.221121, "balance": 6.32393, "dry_up": 0.95035, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068428, "annualized_volatility": 0.446507, "from_high_reference": -0.011526, "from_low_reference": 0.628895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.612333, "fair_value_reference": 32.594138, "structural_low": 23.43, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.003236, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005707, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.13913, "worst_return": -0.204627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002604, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021345, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.118495, "worst_return": -0.325342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.065093, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.136153, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.033724, "worst_return": -0.267251, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.870806, "energy": 29.549316, "activity_lines": [ 30.804333, 30.444364, 29.160262, 29.018038 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 33.360001, "volume": 1333357, "typical_volume": 330725.05, "trend": 29.58125, "fair_value": 32.527792, "relative_strength": -0.920756, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.229672, "energy": 46.227474, "activity_lines": [ 31.7005, 31.069136, 29.632464, 29.258064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.080002, "volume": 312424, "typical_volume": 327704.7, "trend": 29.556083, "fair_value": 32.537183, "relative_strength": 0.662119, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.107833, "energy": 66.467172, "activity_lines": [ 32.721001, 31.727591, 30.146405, 29.548307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.93, "volume": 251217, "typical_volume": 326277.25, "trend": 29.4555, "fair_value": 32.531959, "relative_strength": -6.335508, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.134882, "energy": 70.936844, "activity_lines": [ 32.761167, 31.898637, 30.419988, 29.701462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.345001, "volume": 225935, "typical_volume": 297961.15, "trend": 29.479833, "fair_value": 32.545212, "relative_strength": -0.148112, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.721781, "energy": 74.603434, "activity_lines": [ 33.417668, 32.436319, 30.910215, 30.016914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.165001, "volume": 373668, "typical_volume": 306004.0, "trend": 29.612333, "fair_value": 32.594138, "relative_strength": 10.705395, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.068575, "energy": 84.435722, "activity_lines": [ 35.034334, 33.581455, 31.732608, 30.577248 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }