{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f942d49b-2c8f-4e02-8d39-b11215218946",
    "symbol": "MMIT",
    "name": "NYLI MACKAY MUNI INTERMEDIATE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 84.486,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.886,
    "architecture_energy": 58.196,
    "architecture_maturity": 2.336,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.077,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.23,
        "rotation_up": 11.1,
        "upward_expansion": 13.24,
        "deceleration": 37.23,
        "rotation_down": 67.65,
        "downward_expansion": 81.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        24.138378
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.06,
    "trend_reference": 24.161415,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.004197,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.030539,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0447,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.64709,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.008815,
    "excess_performance": -0.13444,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004197,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003367,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0447,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013688,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106471,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012724,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008815,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.635705,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.839406,
      "balance": 1.635705,
      "dry_up": 0.790689,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006572,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.034975,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018278,
      "from_low_reference": 0.040551
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 23.030539,
      "structural_low": 23.794704,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.00227,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02915,
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        "worst_return": -0.022897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 22.974986,
        "relative_strength": -8.959439,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.658961,
        "energy": 45.979988,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.125365,
        "volume": 1618187,
        "typical_volume": 1688653.25,
        "trend": 24.166121,
        "fair_value": 22.98888,
        "relative_strength": -7.57229,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.36907,
        "energy": 10.936799,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.20723,
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          24.176724,
          24.178817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.886105,
        "volume": 1359645,
        "typical_volume": 1702157.4,
        "trend": 24.164265,
        "fair_value": 23.0017,
        "relative_strength": -7.743956,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.628699,
        "energy": 35.47386,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.091392,
          24.15823,
          24.151361,
          24.160751
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.92,
        "volume": 1021911,
        "typical_volume": 1716381.7,
        "trend": 24.162517,
        "fair_value": 23.015642,
        "relative_strength": -8.334757,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.119642,
        "energy": 57.083524,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.01371,
          24.11241,
          24.131103,
          24.144992
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.06,
        "volume": 1445074,
        "typical_volume": 1721542.8,
        "trend": 24.161415,
        "fair_value": 23.030539,
        "relative_strength": -10.64709,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.886189,
        "energy": 58.195982,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.005613,
          24.093289,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}