{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f95bc549-15e7-44bc-bfaa-fd0a46b5d2df", "symbol": "MAZDA", "name": "Mazda Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 57.602, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.649, "architecture_energy": 21.965, "architecture_maturity": 54.803, "architecture_confidence": 89.165, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.39, "rotation_up": 28.45, "upward_expansion": 57.38, "deceleration": 88.01, "rotation_down": 27.88, "downward_expansion": 18.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 224.906664, 227.860908, 222.834428, 216.234709 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 231.229996, "trend_reference": 209.793333, "distance_from_trend": 0.10218, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 251.278335, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.079785, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.553643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090193, "excess_performance": 0.133902, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004166, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.079785, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060438, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.015536, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098749, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090193, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.813838, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28678, "relative_activity": 0.198875, "balance": 6.813838, "dry_up": 0.275228, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073899, "annualized_volatility": 0.395804, "from_high_reference": -0.249253, "from_low_reference": 0.45245 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 209.793333, "fair_value_reference": 251.278335, "structural_low": 159.199997, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.017258, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.014859, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.22634, "worst_return": -0.105148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011504, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03158, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.528265, "worst_return": -0.145899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.110866, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.005822, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.792761, "worst_return": -0.267144, "sufficient": true 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"activity_lines": [ 227.865999, 228.964181, 220.387953, 214.30942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 217.169998, "volume": 31371, "typical_volume": 149166.45, "trend": 209.178334, "fair_value": 250.959996, "relative_strength": -4.23349, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.302046, "energy": 22.566412, "activity_lines": [ 223.426665, 227.339454, 221.021428, 214.812022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 231.229996, "volume": 28678, "typical_volume": 144201.35, "trend": 209.793333, "fair_value": 251.278335, "relative_strength": 1.553643, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.649211, "energy": 21.965456, "activity_lines": [ 224.906664, 227.860908, 222.834428, 216.234709 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }