{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9624335-81e2-4b90-9df0-6a37e39c0582", "symbol": "584", "name": "AJJ Medtech Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.519, "architecture_energy": 26.695, "architecture_maturity": 89.042, "architecture_confidence": 86.032, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.89, "rotation_up": 24.72, "upward_expansion": 13.62, "deceleration": 46.01, "rotation_down": 38.54, "downward_expansion": 63.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004533, 0.004455, 0.004643, 0.005114 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.004, "trend_reference": 0.005933, "distance_from_trend": -0.325843, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.005038, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.206107, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.980963, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.5, "excess_performance": -0.654835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.325843, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.258333, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.206107, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175051, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.51981, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2511, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.5, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.647252, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2876600, "relative_activity": 0.189019, "balance": 0.647252, "dry_up": 0.359292, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.288462, "annualized_volatility": 0.938688, "from_high_reference": -0.666667, "from_low_reference": 1.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.005933, "fair_value_reference": 0.005038, "structural_low": 0.003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.020164, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.074826, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071429, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.095518, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.090909, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"fair_value": 0.005064, "relative_strength": -50.103177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.920691, "energy": 44.477773, "activity_lines": [ 0.004267, 0.004364, 0.004795, 0.005432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.005, "volume": 3265600, "typical_volume": 16319850.0, "trend": 0.0063, "fair_value": 0.005058, "relative_strength": -38.664241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.926548, "energy": 27.482646, "activity_lines": [ 0.004533, 0.004455, 0.004767, 0.005335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.005, "volume": 12795800, "typical_volume": 15408205.0, "trend": 0.006133, "fair_value": 0.005051, "relative_strength": -39.234949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.460436, "energy": 18.433936, "activity_lines": [ 0.004733, 0.004545, 0.004748, 0.005252 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.004, "volume": 2876600, "typical_volume": 15218600.0, "trend": 0.005933, "fair_value": 0.005038, "relative_strength": -51.980963, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.518705, "energy": 26.695252, "activity_lines": [ 0.004533, 0.004455, 0.004643, 0.005114 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }