{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f9637a1b-73f1-453d-a968-8fd3f32fa3f8",
    "symbol": "SIE",
    "name": "Siemens Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.71,
    "architecture_energy": 42.627,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.449,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.834,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.2,
        "rotation_up": 47.96,
        "upward_expansion": 79.43,
        "deceleration": 64.36,
        "rotation_down": 26.18,
        "downward_expansion": 6.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        276.553328,
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        269.160951,
        260.521237
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 279.799988,
    "trend_reference": 252.604545,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.10766,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 196.409834,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.424572,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.468391,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.140712,
    "excess_performance": 0.076073,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10766,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059536,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.424572,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002442,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064684,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079082,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140712,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.846885,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7249771,
      "relative_activity": 1.604806,
      "balance": 0.846885,
      "dry_up": 1.13308,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051273,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.301899,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040137,
      "from_low_reference": 0.413131
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 252.604545,
      "fair_value_reference": 196.409834,
      "structural_low": 198.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.013249,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001657,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.118692,
        "worst_return": -0.122286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.13674,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.103922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.260778,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 194.511504,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 282.65,
        "volume": 4654592,
        "typical_volume": 4647365.55,
        "trend": 251.574822,
        "fair_value": 195.435752,
        "relative_strength": 10.707972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 68.242979,
        "energy": 44.063217,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 279.799988,
        "volume": 7249771,
        "typical_volume": 4517537.85,
        "trend": 252.604545,
        "fair_value": 196.409834,
        "relative_strength": 6.468391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}