{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f96c76e7-1ab8-41b1-ad19-34bb9d5f6a2a", "symbol": "PRPO", "name": "Precipio Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 92.174, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.321, "architecture_energy": 25.389, "architecture_maturity": 13.236, "architecture_confidence": 90.227, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.46, "rotation_up": 23.95, "upward_expansion": 5.3, "deceleration": 45.3, "rotation_down": 38.45, "downward_expansion": 71.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.371333, 23.524545, 24.256548, 24.768535 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23.97, "trend_reference": 24.980307, "distance_from_trend": -0.040444, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.358963, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.939483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.56781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.194915, "excess_performance": 0.007462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040444, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.939483, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.744121, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085678, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.337741, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.194915, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.695877, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 256253, "relative_activity": 1.040536, "balance": 0.695877, "dry_up": 2.125641, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132369, "annualized_volatility": 0.51306, "from_high_reference": -0.287244, "from_low_reference": 0.736957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.980307, "fair_value_reference": 12.358963, "structural_low": 19.22, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.025593, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.027189, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.689419, "worst_return": -0.232764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.115162, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.135687, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.096689, "worst_return": -0.287373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.262892, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.314171, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 2.016819, "worst_return": -0.585163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.197116, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.276135, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 3.496568, "worst_return": -0.617486, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.29648, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.15493, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.06832, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", 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"2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.459386, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.415254, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.059174, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.125167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007143, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 7.28, "volume": 636446, "typical_volume": 592297.95, "trend": 11.547, "fair_value": 33.564256, "relative_strength": -54.788462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": 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25.233428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 25.26, "volume": 41010, "typical_volume": 143908.8, "trend": 25.039307, "fair_value": 11.823066, "relative_strength": -0.291908, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.931266, "energy": 20.693894, "activity_lines": [ 23.638667, 23.918364, 25.246393, 25.250332 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 23.8, "volume": 437304, "typical_volume": 161153.85, "trend": 25.000307, "fair_value": 11.931784, "relative_strength": -7.955519, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.124962, "energy": 11.496259, "activity_lines": [ 23.798, 23.700182, 25.057683, 25.170377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.64, "volume": 694575, "typical_volume": 190946.65, "trend": 25.081973, "fair_value": 12.048066, "relative_strength": -1.077278, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.533716, "energy": 6.27489, "activity_lines": [ 24.216667, 23.764545, 24.956401, 25.147132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.68, "volume": 582075, "typical_volume": 216195.35, "trend": 25.079307, "fair_value": 12.157553, "relative_strength": -3.830965, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.342309, "energy": 16.134849, "activity_lines": [ 24.146, 23.748364, 24.761024, 25.056682 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.65, "volume": 561026, "typical_volume": 237473.7, "trend": 25.006973, "fair_value": 12.251463, "relative_strength": -12.801073, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.220577, "energy": 28.690807, "activity_lines": [ 23.316667, 23.406, 24.385905, 24.835436 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.97, "volume": 256253, "typical_volume": 246270.25, "trend": 24.980307, "fair_value": 12.358963, "relative_strength": -8.56781, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.321133, "energy": 25.388994, "activity_lines": [ 23.371333, 23.524545, 24.256548, 24.768535 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }