{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f96f70e4-13b2-42cb-8fd4-1cd68e134366", "symbol": "F2VR34", "name": "Fiverr International Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.969, "architecture_energy": 41.514, "architecture_maturity": 26.066, "architecture_confidence": 85.761, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.87, "rotation_up": 17.48, "upward_expansion": 6.26, "deceleration": 53.33, "rotation_down": 58.64, "downward_expansion": 74.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.5, 2.593091, 2.641857, 2.710065 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.37, "trend_reference": 2.945667, "distance_from_trend": -0.195428, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.140256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.614023, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.364753, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.408978, "excess_performance": -0.351929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195428, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.251736, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.614023, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042319, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.483648, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112153, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.408978, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.297621, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5676, "relative_activity": 3.04123, "balance": 0.297621, "dry_up": 4.31216, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123012, "annualized_volatility": 0.479132, "from_high_reference": -0.684, "from_low_reference": 0.053333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.945667, "fair_value_reference": 6.140256, "structural_low": 2.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.041298, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.061318, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.299857, "worst_return": -0.265252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.02456, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.111361, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.119672, "worst_return": -0.344749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.123386, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.229433, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.477449, "worst_return": -0.554828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.056886, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.446086, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.133407, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.012483, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02439, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.119205, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.13038, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.533871, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.152985, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 7.27, "volume": 106, "typical_volume": 2316.8, "trend": 8.152667, "fair_value": 17.189524, "relative_strength": -16.492834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"energy": 27.617723, "activity_lines": [ 2.713333, 2.699273, 2.695476, 2.870753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.89, "volume": 1404, "typical_volume": 393.55, "trend": 3.226, "fair_value": 6.233846, "relative_strength": -41.697611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.285823, "energy": 14.483227, "activity_lines": [ 2.776667, 2.734364, 2.713095, 2.843462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.68, "volume": 11981, "typical_volume": 981.9, "trend": 3.132, "fair_value": 6.207436, "relative_strength": -44.692174, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.851957, "energy": 12.790437, "activity_lines": [ 2.752, 2.729273, 2.710619, 2.808237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.27, "volume": 13131, "typical_volume": 1626.2, "trend": 3.029667, "fair_value": 6.171218, "relative_strength": -53.091234, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.086464, "energy": 37.584142, "activity_lines": [ 2.595333, 2.648727, 2.670286, 2.752624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.37, "volume": 5676, "typical_volume": 1866.35, "trend": 2.945667, "fair_value": 6.140256, "relative_strength": -48.364753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.969263, "energy": 41.513989, "activity_lines": [ 2.5, 2.593091, 2.641857, 2.710065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }