{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f97e91c8-8a45-45a7-b167-3b998d96721b", "symbol": "2845", "name": "Far Eastern International Bank Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.675, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.313, "architecture_energy": 43.918, "architecture_maturity": 25.596, "architecture_confidence": 62.298, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.81, "rotation_up": 54.83, "upward_expansion": 79.4, "deceleration": 65.89, "rotation_down": 20.5, "downward_expansion": 6.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.293333, 13.256364, 12.950238, 12.80957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.2, "trend_reference": 12.678333, "distance_from_trend": 0.041146, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.152804, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086169, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.064323, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.064516, "excess_performance": -0.376856, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041146, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011838, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.086169, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071342, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.260643, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093043, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064516, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.013376, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27628308, "relative_activity": 0.509547, "balance": 4.013376, "dry_up": 0.833015, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032925, "annualized_volatility": 0.134647, "from_high_reference": -0.032967, "from_low_reference": 0.113924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.678333, "fair_value_reference": 12.152804, "structural_low": 11.85, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.00641, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": -0.010651, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 0.095541, "worst_return": -0.116279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.012258, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.006803, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.152778, "worst_return": -0.083402, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.059423, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.027746, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.312253, "worst_return": -0.135779, 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"relative_strength": -23.037471, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.859732, "energy": 80.785906, "activity_lines": [ 13.213333, 12.960909, 12.693571, 12.637097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.35, "volume": 51453198, "typical_volume": 52290958.6, "trend": 12.635, "fair_value": 12.088546, "relative_strength": -24.232718, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.971913, "energy": 77.061063, "activity_lines": [ 13.283333, 13.078182, 12.768333, 12.684194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.5, "volume": 69500604, "typical_volume": 53910334.8, "trend": 12.655, "fair_value": 12.111611, "relative_strength": -21.598948, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.384937, "energy": 71.79389, "activity_lines": [ 13.376667, 13.199091, 12.853095, 12.74 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.2, "volume": 32086594, "typical_volume": 54133816.95, "trend": 12.666667, "fair_value": 12.13139, "relative_strength": -24.327248, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.046139, "energy": 50.57085, "activity_lines": [ 13.336667, 13.24, 12.90381, 12.775161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 13.2, "volume": 27628308, "typical_volume": 54221325.15, "trend": 12.678333, "fair_value": 12.152804, "relative_strength": -26.064323, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.312786, "energy": 43.918229, "activity_lines": [ 13.293333, 13.256364, 12.950238, 12.80957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }