{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f984846d-7479-4850-98eb-935ee32f22c2", "symbol": "PODDARMENT", "name": "Poddar Pigments Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.93, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.641, "architecture_energy": 26.231, "architecture_maturity": 22.096, "architecture_confidence": 77.265, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.24, "rotation_up": 47.4, "upward_expansion": 69.12, "deceleration": 49.96, "rotation_down": 22.02, "downward_expansion": 17.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 254.246003, 250.998911, 251.299334, 247.652861 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 257.450012, "trend_reference": 244.911667, "distance_from_trend": 0.051195, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 318.978528, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.192892, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.259903, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.047737, "excess_performance": 0.091446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051195, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015308, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.192892, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004024, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012599, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000667, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047737, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.934397, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28309, "relative_activity": 1.235615, "balance": 0.934397, "dry_up": 2.515391, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077748, "annualized_volatility": 0.416751, "from_high_reference": -0.129648, "from_low_reference": 0.280209 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 244.911667, "fair_value_reference": 318.978528, "structural_low": 201.100006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.022852, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000881, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.12854, "worst_return": -0.181805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.05885, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.047603, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.246578, "worst_return": -0.127877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.029489, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.022969, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.341144, "worst_return": -0.224412, 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"energy": 13.186635, "activity_lines": [ 244.572672, 247.413457, 248.535525, 245.777356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 261.609985, "volume": 34886, "typical_volume": 22392.2, "trend": 244.945, "fair_value": 319.409771, "relative_strength": 3.501513, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.822415, "energy": 16.062601, "activity_lines": [ 250.371333, 249.690363, 250.225619, 246.846086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 257.450012, "volume": 28309, "typical_volume": 22910.85, "trend": 244.911667, "fair_value": 318.978528, "relative_strength": 1.259903, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.641165, "energy": 26.23053, "activity_lines": [ 254.246003, 250.998911, 251.299334, 247.652861 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }