{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f98fd376-c9e9-4eaa-8c9c-f4b42cc6a685", "symbol": "ARVEE", "name": "Arvee Laboratories (India) Ltd.", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.658, "architecture_energy": 26.648, "architecture_maturity": 27.702, "architecture_confidence": 45.778, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.46, "rotation_up": 18.24, "upward_expansion": 18.87, "deceleration": 53.86, "rotation_down": 52.73, "downward_expansion": 46.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 156.432002, 159.323273, 161.570285, 160.539634 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 156.520004, "trend_reference": 159.922999, "distance_from_trend": -0.021279, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 164.653654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049399, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.023111, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.039401, "excess_performance": 0.004308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021279, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070494, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049399, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097327, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08149, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039401, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.262033, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2372, "relative_activity": 0.427499, "balance": 0.262033, "dry_up": 0.518334, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089588, "annualized_volatility": 0.442175, "from_high_reference": -0.461724, "from_low_reference": 0.2123 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 159.922999, "fair_value_reference": 164.653654, "structural_low": 129.110001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.03491, "positive_rate": 0.64, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": 0.044786, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.752215, "worst_return": -0.152094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.082815, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.046768, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.37241, "worst_return": -0.130081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.082235, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.087784, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.567854, "worst_return": -0.213828, "sufficient": true 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"down", "direction": -20.580378, "energy": 10.164552, "activity_lines": [ 163.973333, 164.53709, 163.090237, 162.742558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 158.009995, "volume": 1671, "typical_volume": 5450.35, "trend": 165.554999, "fair_value": 163.818397, "relative_strength": -4.573706, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.037272, "energy": 16.123694, "activity_lines": [ 161.465999, 163.323453, 162.890998, 161.970257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 153.660004, "volume": 3808, "typical_volume": 5545.65, "trend": 162.479999, "fair_value": 164.043782, "relative_strength": -4.919307, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.695078, "energy": 30.351756, "activity_lines": [ 158.353334, 161.506363, 162.263142, 161.202838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 156.720001, "volume": 3653, "typical_volume": 5624.05, "trend": 161.039666, "fair_value": 164.348077, "relative_strength": -5.355228, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.892354, "energy": 27.549602, "activity_lines": [ 157.148668, 160.424545, 161.947142, 160.831225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 156.520004, "volume": 2372, "typical_volume": 5548.55, "trend": 159.922999, "fair_value": 164.653654, "relative_strength": -6.023111, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.657638, "energy": 26.648296, "activity_lines": [ 156.432002, 159.323273, 161.570285, 160.539634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }