{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f990cad6-7445-425f-bde2-e8484a987914",
    "symbol": "ZIN",
    "name": "BMO Equal Weight Industrials Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.034,
    "architecture_energy": 63.83,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.453,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.57,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.11,
        "rotation_up": 54.42,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.56,
        "rotation_down": 28.71,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        60.592001,
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        58.217091
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 60.560001,
    "trend_reference": 56.522443,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071433,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.226029,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.401008,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.593091,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.124111,
    "excess_performance": 0.00369,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071433,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074145,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.401008,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003118,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025931,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030081,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124111,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.8125,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4000,
      "relative_activity": 0.860215,
      "balance": 2.8125,
      "dry_up": 0.698925,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017019,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.125952,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024013,
      "from_low_reference": 0.348191
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.522443,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.226029,
      "structural_low": 51.25979,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.011643,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004168,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.095627,
        "worst_return": -0.091027,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.00328,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
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        "worst_return": -0.03878,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.003646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.109409,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8009.0,
        "trend": 50.855443,
        "fair_value": 40.803724,
        "relative_strength": 4.080637,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 79.487476,
        "energy": 79.841909,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 7534.65,
        "trend": 51.192188,
        "fair_value": 40.957939,
        "relative_strength": 5.833061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 88.128149,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 7419.85,
        "trend": 51.562148,
        "fair_value": 41.111494,
        "relative_strength": 5.601172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.043325,
        "energy": 90.268346,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 7519.95,
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        "fair_value": 41.262827,
        "relative_strength": 6.983237,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 90.495454,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 7520.0,
        "trend": 52.255372,
        "fair_value": 41.420818,
        "relative_strength": 5.464996,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.474327,
        "energy": 90.068569,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 59.742073,
        "volume": 4900,
        "typical_volume": 7365.0,
        "trend": 52.620856,
        "fair_value": 41.585456,
        "relative_strength": 6.631495,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.929293,
        "energy": 92.272506,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 7105.0,
        "trend": 53.024121,
        "fair_value": 41.747903,
        "relative_strength": 6.420623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.073995,
        "energy": 85.813561,
        "activity_lines": [
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          56.245938,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 6935.0,
        "trend": 53.444984,
        "fair_value": 41.90841,
        "relative_strength": 4.897865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.79101,
        "energy": 84.782422,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 59.462578,
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        "fair_value": 42.077029,
        "relative_strength": 5.161313,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 59.782001,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 5310.0,
        "trend": 54.298066,
        "fair_value": 42.241081,
        "relative_strength": 5.614492,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.11416,
        "energy": 78.956788,
        "activity_lines": [
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          56.1465
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 60.110001,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 5260.0,
        "trend": 54.68743,
        "fair_value": 42.40705,
        "relative_strength": 5.37568,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.48445,
        "energy": 84.243443,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.705004,
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          56.521464
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 60.41,
        "volume": 1900,
        "typical_volume": 5120.0,
        "trend": 55.062566,
        "fair_value": 42.570131,
        "relative_strength": 5.719338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.468858,
        "energy": 85.293585,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.997614,
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          58.183069,
          56.890662
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 61.650002,
        "volume": 1700,
        "typical_volume": 4910.0,
        "trend": 55.475053,
        "fair_value": 42.738631,
        "relative_strength": 7.932003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.012665,
        "energy": 92.939374,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.61644,
          60.056681,
          58.656349,
          57.315658
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.43,
        "volume": 2800,
        "typical_volume": 4755.0,
        "trend": 55.868922,
        "fair_value": 42.906276,
        "relative_strength": 7.133972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.135388,
        "energy": 91.504093,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.998801,
          60.387369,
          59.074925,
          57.699848
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.52,
        "volume": 4500,
        "typical_volume": 4545.0,
        "trend": 56.193813,
        "fair_value": 43.06359,
        "relative_strength": 4.183404,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.438521,
        "energy": 66.391824,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.613334,
          60.311237,
          59.272288,
          57.935401
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.560001,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 4650.0,
        "trend": 56.522443,
        "fair_value": 43.226029,
        "relative_strength": 2.593091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.034486,
        "energy": 63.829759,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.592001,
          60.405547,
          59.529459,
          58.217091
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}