{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f991c5e1-d3b9-4458-bd8d-fce9874bba80", "symbol": "002050", "name": "Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.817, "architecture_energy": 72.994, "architecture_maturity": 21.312, "architecture_confidence": 81.864, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.0, "rotation_up": 11.88, "upward_expansion": 19.11, "deceleration": 34.42, "rotation_down": 72.49, "downward_expansion": 90.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.218772, 40.475118, 43.435528, 44.682871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.119999, "trend_reference": 46.928931, "distance_from_trend": -0.166399, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.246745, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.727794, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232038, "excess_performance": -0.239437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166399, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0271, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25197, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.488046, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.147278, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218966, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.271124, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 355716941, "relative_activity": 0.765458, "balance": 1.271124, "dry_up": 0.794456, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122709, "annualized_volatility": 0.529263, "from_high_reference": -0.356261, "from_low_reference": 0.505019 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.928931, "fair_value_reference": 31.246745, "structural_low": 34.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.00471, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.000458, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.53423, "worst_return": -0.140625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.184453, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.062826, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.671813, "worst_return": -0.197873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.460978, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.505666, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.816436, "worst_return": -0.175675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-60.494015, "energy": 50.736965, "activity_lines": [ 44.550574, 45.869878, 46.440203, 47.270159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.75, "volume": 354289895, "typical_volume": 470122856.4, "trend": 48.06428, "fair_value": 31.047724, "relative_strength": -9.151858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.330069, "energy": 57.183099, "activity_lines": [ 42.951045, 44.471824, 45.786093, 46.722589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.049999, "volume": 444153289, "typical_volume": 466421926.4, "trend": 47.786783, "fair_value": 31.096849, "relative_strength": -20.294588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.450255, "energy": 64.801816, "activity_lines": [ 40.102238, 42.436316, 44.738937, 45.882958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.529999, "volume": 322610136, "typical_volume": 461810638.65, "trend": 47.464565, "fair_value": 31.163491, "relative_strength": -13.604336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.236183, "energy": 73.4274, "activity_lines": [ 38.772407, 41.16099, 43.988256, 45.22123 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.119999, "volume": 355716941, "typical_volume": 464711436.05, "trend": 46.928931, "fair_value": 31.246745, "relative_strength": -14.727794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.817437, "energy": 72.993775, "activity_lines": [ 38.218772, 40.475118, 43.435528, 44.682871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }