{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f99364ac-1acb-46cb-8e05-3943c1e45a7e",
    "symbol": "5EG",
    "name": "Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.005,
    "architecture_energy": 38.285,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.412,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.929,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.34,
        "rotation_up": 26.02,
        "upward_expansion": 9.32,
        "deceleration": 59.25,
        "rotation_down": 43.55,
        "downward_expansion": 71.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.031,
        0.031055,
        0.031857,
        0.03263
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.03,
    "trend_reference": 0.033633,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.108028,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.028064,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.068981,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -32.215524,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.142857,
    "excess_performance": -0.297692,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108028,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067468,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068981,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186191,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.322155,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153064,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.142857,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.029801,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 64100,
      "relative_activity": 0.103569,
      "balance": 0.029801,
      "dry_up": 0.108982,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061538,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.309725,
      "from_high_reference": -0.4,
      "from_low_reference": 0.071429
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.033633,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.028064,
      "structural_low": 0.028,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.031373,
        "positive_rate": 0.53125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.40625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008915,
        "regime_survival": 0.78125,
        "best_return": 0.466667,
        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.026316,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023071,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.461538,
        "worst_return": -0.137931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.016667,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002719,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.586207,
        "worst_return": -0.111111,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.533333,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.478555,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.666667,
        "worst_return": -0.5,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.37931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.421053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.615385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.264706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.069767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.166667,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.028,
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        "typical_volume": 468090.0,
        "trend": 0.029133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 0.027885,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 864315.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -30.024994,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 71.625241,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.032,
        "volume": 114700,
        "typical_volume": 624725.0,
        "trend": 0.0343,
        "fair_value": 0.028045,
        "relative_strength": -27.527375,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.196231,
        "energy": 45.578065,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.031067,
          0.031491,
          0.032448,
          0.033228
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.032,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 624610.0,
        "trend": 0.0341,
        "fair_value": 0.028051,
        "relative_strength": -27.670923,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.106993,
        "energy": 37.956969,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.031467,
          0.031473,
          0.032324,
          0.03308
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.031,
        "volume": 91000,
        "typical_volume": 616760.0,
        "trend": 0.033867,
        "fair_value": 0.028051,
        "relative_strength": -29.810466,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.285515,
        "energy": 29.823634,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0314,
          0.031327,
          0.032124,
          0.03288
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.03,
        "volume": 64100,
        "typical_volume": 618910.0,
        "trend": 0.033633,
        "fair_value": 0.028064,
        "relative_strength": -32.215524,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.005341,
        "energy": 38.285091,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.031,
          0.031055,
          0.031857,
          0.03263
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}