{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f99f7a18-4974-47cf-996c-fdb58ba8db43", "symbol": "UC68", "name": "UBS MSCI World UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.161, "architecture_energy": 69.65, "architecture_maturity": 54.473, "architecture_confidence": 80.189, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.67, "rotation_up": 57.82, "upward_expansion": 82.6, "deceleration": 66.15, "rotation_down": 26.87, "downward_expansion": 11.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 492.306669, 489.372729, 484.474049, 475.940438 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 505.399994, "trend_reference": 466.38004, "distance_from_trend": 0.083666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 380.542637, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.328103, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.224034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.118355, "excess_performance": 0.06712, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083666, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035575, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.328103, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01463, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03224, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016827, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118355, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.064, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21, "relative_activity": 0.055614, "balance": 11.064, "dry_up": 0.139036, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015232, "annualized_volatility": 0.12825, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.229024 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 466.38004, "fair_value_reference": 380.542637, "structural_low": 420.399994, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 485.850006, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 448.05, "trend": 461.96964, "fair_value": 376.722601, "relative_strength": 2.120069, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.908106, "energy": 65.40009, "activity_lines": [ 486.783331, 485.933638, 478.0425, 470.406269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 484.975006, "volume": 25, "typical_volume": 449.3, "trend": 463.233574, "fair_value": 377.920608, "relative_strength": 0.643503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.697048, "energy": 60.380369, "activity_lines": [ 486.39, 485.919547, 479.737858, 471.890486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 485.200012, "volume": 114, "typical_volume": 380.3, "trend": 464.592178, "fair_value": 379.15421, "relative_strength": -0.552393, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.661494, "energy": 54.521406, "activity_lines": [ 486.173338, 485.820003, 481.263335, 473.307676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 505.399994, "volume": 21, "typical_volume": 377.6, "trend": 466.38004, "fair_value": 380.542637, "relative_strength": 3.224034, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.160816, "energy": 69.650429, "activity_lines": [ 492.306669, 489.372729, 484.474049, 475.940438 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }