{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9abf865-0a14-4072-b65e-97d535501a95", "symbol": "600455", "name": "But'one Information Corporation,Xi'an", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.915, "architecture_energy": 48.169, "architecture_maturity": 39.642, "architecture_confidence": 89.856, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.01, "rotation_up": 21.49, "upward_expansion": 6.97, "deceleration": 59.25, "rotation_down": 55.99, "downward_expansion": 80.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.224667, 22.339091, 23.91281, 24.863312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.77, "trend_reference": 26.038667, "distance_from_trend": -0.087127, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.091795, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02937, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.331595, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.16859, "excess_performance": -0.125387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087127, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048178, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.02937, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240912, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075611, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16859, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.549212, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10018000, "relative_activity": 1.256803, "balance": 0.549212, "dry_up": 1.153559, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086923, "annualized_volatility": 0.379143, "from_high_reference": -0.212392, "from_low_reference": 0.208439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.038667, "fair_value_reference": 23.091795, "structural_low": 19.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.037324, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.038233, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.261538, "worst_return": -0.236085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025423, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031295, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.476768, "worst_return": -0.117647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.142857, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.15712, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.552188, "worst_return": -0.197297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.033733, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017274, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044782, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038881, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.008239, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.165934, "active": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.453191, "energy": 83.43765, "activity_lines": [ 22.150667, 23.296182, 24.866191, 25.679957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.110001, "volume": 9341300, "typical_volume": 7852088.45, "trend": 26.227, "fair_value": 23.091602, "relative_strength": -21.721534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.186998, "energy": 80.003269, "activity_lines": [ 21.398667, 22.474, 24.327381, 25.27228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.23, "volume": 9086000, "typical_volume": 7884013.45, "trend": 26.112, "fair_value": 23.086282, "relative_strength": -13.353121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.195004, "energy": 60.053243, "activity_lines": [ 21.572, 22.205455, 24.031381, 25.014409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.77, "volume": 10018000, "typical_volume": 7971018.45, "trend": 26.038667, "fair_value": 23.091795, "relative_strength": -9.331595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.914922, "energy": 48.169217, "activity_lines": [ 22.224667, 22.339091, 23.91281, 24.863312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }